TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477837
Played Aug 23Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111191113115––
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:22 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 84 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 57.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 3–9 Serhii Semenets Yevhenii Korotin has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:22What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Semenets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Semenets
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1287 vs Semenets 1240
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 60% vs Semenets 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 40% vs Semenets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin +1 · Semenets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 2.00 / Semenets 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Semenets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477837
Korotin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Semenets1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 101 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it73% 75 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorotin2wins
AwaySemenets8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSemenets leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorotin25%1 of 4
AwaySemenets83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S2Korotin3Semenets7n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S3Korotin5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S4Korotin1Semenets8n = 9Semenets took 8 of 9
S5Korotin2Semenets2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorotinSemenetsK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.043.2−6.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 193 vs 408 / 81550.8%50.1%98 / 193 vs 408 / 815Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsKorotin 2.00/Semenets 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 12:30Y. Korotin—119115113S. Semenets—71161192
LApr 28 · 14:40Y. Korotin—11915962S. Semenets—9111311113
LApr 14 · 11:30Y. Korotin—51281152S. Semenets—1110117113
LSep 23 · 13:10Y. Korotin—9111151S. Semenets—11139113
LJul 1 · 14:10Y. Korotin—831161S. Semenets—11116113
LJun 17 · 14:10Y. Korotin—112891S. Semenets—81111103
LJun 10 · 12:10Y. Korotin—1011891S. Semenets—12611113
LMay 27 · 17:10Y. Korotin—6920S. Semenets—1111113
LMay 20 · 15:10Y. Korotin—1291051S. Semenets—101112113
WMay 6 · 08:35Y. Korotin—711117113S. Semenets—11951172
Y. Korotin10
WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113LAug 30 · 15:10Y. Korotin2.7571080O. Mytsyk1.401112113WAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin1.73119118113M. Khalenko2.0091141162LAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113LAug 30 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.501161181K. Klymenko1.5091113113
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112
Upcoming Matches
Y. Korotin
Nothing scheduled
S. Semenets
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