TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061875
Played Sep 2Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117113118––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:53 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 60.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 1–1 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:53What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1428 vs Ovsiienko 1428
Ovsiienko
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 20% vs Ovsiienko 100%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 40% vs Ovsiienko 70%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika +1 · Ovsiienko +5
Ovsiienko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zaika) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.57 / Ovsiienko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zaika)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061875
Zaika1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 61 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it70% 45 of 64
Ovsiienko2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 78 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZaika1wins
AwayOvsiienko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZaikaOvsiienkoZ − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.539.0+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 563 vs 440 / 84449.2%52.1%277 / 563 vs 440 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.57/Ovsiienko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 30 · 17:00B. Zaika—5111291O. Ovsiienko—11514113
WAug 26 · 15:30B. Zaika—111111113O. Ovsiienko—991361
B. Zaika10
WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 16:30O. Mytsyk2.25861181B. Zaika1.5711116113LSep 2 · 15:30B. Zaika1.6111681192M. Stetsenko2.20611116113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Smyk3.5011137123B. Zaika1.2851111101LSep 2 · 13:00B. Zaika1.5791111552K. Klymenko2.25115811113LAug 30 · 18:00A. Kurtenko2.50111213153B. Zaika1.5041015131
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651LSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212LSep 3 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.611111123O. Ovsiienko2.2049100WSep 3 · 09:50K. Klymenko3.0011812562O. Ovsiienko1.369111011113
Upcoming Matches
B. Zaika
Nothing scheduled
O. Ovsiienko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.