TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089307
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711611119116115
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 88 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 55.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 1–0 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:00What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1361 vs Ovsiienko 1409
Ovsiienko
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 20% vs Ovsiienko 60%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 30% vs Ovsiienko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko -2 · Ovsiienko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lipeiko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.67 / Ovsiienko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lipeiko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089307
Lipeiko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 62 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it74% 50 of 68
Ovsiienko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 79 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLipeiko1wins
AwayOvsiienko0wins
Lipeiko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLipeikoOvsiienkoL − OBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.031.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 507 vs 445 / 85547.7%52.1%242 / 507 vs 445 / 855Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoLipeiko 1.67/Ovsiienko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 24 · 12:20O. Lipeiko—111110113O. Ovsiienko—851261
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 7 · 10:35A. Martyniuk1.612950O. Ovsiienko2.201111113LSep 7 · 09:05O. Leonenko1.50791111113O. Ovsiienko2.5011119772WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651LSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212
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