TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089213
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711711––––
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 68.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 4–8 Andrii Martyniuk Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Martyniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Martyniuk
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1380 vs Martyniuk 1498
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 40% vs Martyniuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 30% vs Martyniuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko +1 · Martyniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Martyniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 2.63 / Martyniuk 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Martyniuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089213
Lipeiko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 55 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Martyniuk1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 53 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it68% 38 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLipeiko3wins
AwayMartyniuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLipeiko33.3%1 of 3
AwayMartyniuk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko3Martyniuk7n = 10Martyniuk took 7 of 10
S2Lipeiko2Martyniuk8n = 10Martyniuk took 8 of 10
S3Lipeiko3Martyniuk7n = 10Martyniuk took 7 of 10
S4Lipeiko4Martyniuk3n = 7Lipeiko took 4 of 7
S5Lipeiko2Martyniuk1n = 3Lipeiko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLipeikoMartyniukL − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.641.8−8.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 505 vs 161 / 31247.9%51.6%242 / 505 vs 161 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukLipeiko 2.63/Martyniuk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 11:10O. Lipeiko—8470A. Martyniuk—1111113
LAug 14 · 12:50O. Lipeiko—1227121A. Martyniuk—101111143
WJul 23 · 08:35O. Lipeiko—81113113A. Martyniuk—1171191
WJul 17 · 08:35O. Lipeiko—128511123A. Martyniuk—1011118102
LJun 23 · 20:40O. Lipeiko—515621A. Martyniuk—111311113
LMay 7 · 16:40O. Lipeiko—7750A. Martyniuk—1111113
WApr 28 · 08:00O. Lipeiko—451111113A. Martyniuk—11117952
LMar 7 · 16:20O. Lipeiko—8650A. Martyniuk—1111113
LJan 19 · 10:35O. Lipeiko—13881282A. Martyniuk—11111110113
LNov 3 · 09:35O. Lipeiko—1081171A. Martyniuk—12118113
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861LSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.361111812113E. Populovskyi3.0066111472LAug 31 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.63611612113A. Martyniuk1.44117111052WAug 29 · 18:30A. Martyniuk1.2531111113O. Osadchyi3.75117881LAug 29 · 16:30S. Solomko2.1081611123A. Martyniuk1.6711149101LAug 29 · 15:30A. Martyniuk1.53991151O. Tymofeev2.3811119113
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