TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049353
Played Aug 31Finished
Anatolii Kovalenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111176111210115
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 61.6%
90 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 3–2 Andrii Martyniuk Andrii Martyniuk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Martyniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1393 vs Martyniuk 1498
Martyniuk
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 40% vs Martyniuk 60%
Martyniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 30% vs Martyniuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko -1 · Martyniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Martyniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 2.63 / Martyniuk 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Martyniuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049353
Kovalenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 41 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Martyniuk1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 58 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it68% 42 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKovalenko3wins
AwayMartyniuk2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKovalenko leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMartyniuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko1Martyniuk4n = 5Martyniuk took 4 of 5
S2Kovalenko2Martyniuk3n = 5Martyniuk took 3 of 5
S3Kovalenko2Martyniuk3n = 5Martyniuk took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKovalenkoMartyniukK − MBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match34.636.0−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 496 vs 165 / 32053.4%51.6%265 / 496 vs 165 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukKovalenko 2.63/Martyniuk 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 31 · 06:05A. Kovalenko—611612113A. Martyniuk—117111052
LAug 25 · 16:40A. Kovalenko—61470A. Martyniuk—1116113
WApr 13 · 10:35A. Kovalenko—441311113A. Martyniuk—111111872
LFeb 3 · 12:00A. Kovalenko—8790A. Martyniuk—1111113
WJan 19 · 07:35A. Kovalenko—1111113A. Martyniuk—7280
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122LSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171WSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123WSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722WSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.361111812113E. Populovskyi3.0066111472WAug 29 · 18:30A. Martyniuk1.2531111113O. Osadchyi3.75117881LAug 29 · 16:30S. Solomko2.1081611123A. Martyniuk1.6711149101LAug 29 · 15:30A. Martyniuk1.53991151O. Tymofeev2.3811119113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kovalenko
Nothing scheduled
A. Martyniuk
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