TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037779
Played Aug 29Finished
Serhii Solomko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81116141191210––
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 91 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 57.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 5–7 Andrii Martyniuk Serhii Solomko has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Martyniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Martyniuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1496 vs Martyniuk 1525
Martyniuk
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 60% vs Martyniuk 40%
Solomko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 40% vs Martyniuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko -1 · Martyniuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Martyniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 2.10 / Martyniuk 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Martyniuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037779
Solomko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 127 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back24% 37 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 88
Martyniuk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it68% 39 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko4wins
AwayMartyniuk6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomko75%3 of 4
AwayMartyniuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko4Martyniuk6n = 10Martyniuk took 6 of 10
S2Solomko4Martyniuk6n = 10Martyniuk took 6 of 10
S3Solomko5Martyniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Solomko2Martyniuk2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoMartyniukS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.934.6−2.7per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 1006 vs 162 / 31350.6%51.8%509 / 1006 vs 162 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukSolomko 2.10/Martyniuk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 12:00S. Solomko—61111113A. Martyniuk—114991
WAug 5 · 09:35S. Solomko—11414113A. Martyniuk—5111281
LAug 4 · 14:10S. Solomko—10680A. Martyniuk—1211113
LJul 26 · 11:20S. Solomko—9720A. Martyniuk—1111113
WJul 23 · 12:05S. Solomko—1111113A. Martyniuk—5790
LJul 22 · 08:35S. Solomko—7670A. Martyniuk—1111113
WJul 18 · 15:00S. Solomko—1113123A. Martyniuk—911100
LJul 17 · 12:05S. Solomko—131198112A. Martyniuk—1141111133
LJun 30 · 10:35S. Solomko—10880A. Martyniuk—1211113
LJun 27 · 15:00S. Solomko—6311111A. Martyniuk—11117133
S. Solomko10
WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.361111812113E. Populovskyi3.0066111472LAug 31 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.63611612113A. Martyniuk1.44117111052WAug 29 · 18:30A. Martyniuk1.2531111113O. Osadchyi3.75117881LAug 29 · 15:30A. Martyniuk1.53991151O. Tymofeev2.3811119113
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