TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037590
Played Aug 29Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911911119511––
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 76 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 62.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 13–5 Oleksandr Tymofeev Oleksandr Tymofeev has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:47What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Martyniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Martyniuk
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1507 vs Tymofeev 1517
Tymofeev
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 20% vs Tymofeev 40%
Tymofeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 60% vs Tymofeev 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk -2 · Tymofeev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Martyniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 1.53 / Tymofeev 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Martyniuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037590
Martyniuk1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it68% 39 of 57
Tymofeev2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartyniuk7wins
AwayTymofeev3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk60%3 of 5
AwayTymofeev20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk5Tymofeev5n = 10split evenly
S2Martyniuk8Tymofeev2n = 10Martyniuk took 8 of 10
S3Martyniuk4Tymofeev6n = 10Tymofeev took 6 of 10
S4Martyniuk7Tymofeev2n = 9Martyniuk took 7 of 9
S5Martyniuk2Tymofeev2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartyniukTymofeevM − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.937.5+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 310 vs 274 / 52951.6%51.8%160 / 310 vs 274 / 529Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukMartyniuk 1.53/Tymofeev 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 15:40A. Martyniuk—1111113O. Tymofeev—8780
LAug 4 · 11:40A. Martyniuk—16961182O. Tymofeev—1411112113
WJul 26 · 12:50A. Martyniuk—11121011113O. Tymofeev—710121342
WJul 18 · 12:00A. Martyniuk—51111113O. Tymofeev—115851
LApr 24 · 12:40A. Martyniuk—1111161O. Tymofeev—13711113
WMar 14 · 21:50A. Martyniuk—51111123O. Tymofeev—1159101
WJan 31 · 22:50A. Martyniuk—11113123O. Tymofeev—8611101
LDec 13 · 21:20A. Martyniuk—11781142O. Tymofeev—611115113
WNov 28 · 19:20A. Martyniuk—611411123O. Tymofeev—112113102
WNov 25 · 16:40A. Martyniuk—101111113O. Tymofeev—129681
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.361111812113E. Populovskyi3.0066111472LAug 31 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.63611612113A. Martyniuk1.44117111052WAug 29 · 18:30A. Martyniuk1.2531111113O. Osadchyi3.75117881LAug 29 · 16:30S. Solomko2.1081611123A. Martyniuk1.6711149101
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113
Upcoming Matches
A. Martyniuk
O. Tymofeev
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