TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043846
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711116116811711
Serhii Solomko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 67.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 5–2 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tymofeev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Tymofeev
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1481 vs Solomko 1502
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 40% vs Solomko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 50% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev -2 · Solomko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 1.40 / Solomko 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Tymofeev)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13043846
Tymofeev1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 88 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it89% 63 of 71
Solomko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 128 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back25% 37 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeTymofeev5wins
AwaySolomko2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderTymofeev leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev100%5 of 5
AwaySolomkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev5Solomko2n = 7Tymofeev took 5 of 7
S2Tymofeev4Solomko3n = 7Tymofeev took 4 of 7
S3Tymofeev5Solomko2n = 7Tymofeev took 5 of 7
S4Tymofeev2Solomko3n = 5Solomko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricTymofeevSolomkoT − SBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match37.434.4+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 533 vs 512 / 101251.6%50.6%275 / 533 vs 512 / 1012Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevTymofeev 1.40/Solomko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 4 · 17:40O. Tymofeev—111211123S. Solomko—8144101
LAug 2 · 08:00O. Tymofeev—7511111S. Solomko—11119133
WJul 26 · 07:50O. Tymofeev—1111113S. Solomko—7280
WJul 21 · 17:40O. Tymofeev—111164113S. Solomko—57111152
WJul 19 · 10:50O. Tymofeev—1212113S. Solomko—101090
WJul 18 · 14:00O. Tymofeev—11811113S. Solomko—711771
LJul 12 · 12:50O. Tymofeev—613651S. Solomko—111111113
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113LAug 29 · 17:30O. Tymofeev1.80431171O. Osadchyi1.911111883
S. Solomko10
WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Tymofeev
Nothing scheduled
S. Solomko
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