TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079267
Played Sep 5Finished
Dmytro Patalakha
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1111194119111210
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Patalakha above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 89 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 76.6%
89 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Patalakha 0–13 Oleksandr Tymofeev Dmytro Patalakha has won 0 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Tymofeev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-13 in 13
Tymofeev
Wrong
gap of 13 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patalakha 1433 vs Tymofeev 1461
Tymofeev
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patalakha 60% vs Tymofeev 20%
Patalakha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patalakha 40% vs Tymofeev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Patalakha +3 · Tymofeev -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymofeev form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatalakha 3.50 / Tymofeev 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Tymofeev)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079267
Patalakha3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 19 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17
Tymofeev1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 89 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it89% 64 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatalakha0wins
AwayTymofeev10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTymofeev leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatalakhan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTymofeev100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patalakha2Tymofeev8n = 10Tymofeev took 8 of 10
S2Patalakha2Tymofeev8n = 10Tymofeev took 8 of 10
S3Patalakha1Tymofeev9n = 10Tymofeev took 9 of 10
S4Patalakha0Tymofeev4n = 4Tymofeev took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatalakhaTymofeevP − TBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match26.436.1−9.7per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatalakhaTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 248 vs 272 / 52947.6%51.4%118 / 248 vs 272 / 529Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevPatalakha 3.50/Tymofeev 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Patalakha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 09:00D. Patalakha—61411682O. Tymofeev—1112711113
LJul 26 · 08:50D. Patalakha—119951O. Tymofeev—51111113
LJul 12 · 06:50D. Patalakha—5470O. Tymofeev—1111113
LApr 4 · 16:50D. Patalakha—116691O. Tymofeev—41111113
LMar 22 · 11:50D. Patalakha—5770O. Tymofeev—1111103
LMar 21 · 16:20D. Patalakha—8650O. Tymofeev—111193
LFeb 8 · 11:20D. Patalakha—11760O. Tymofeev—1311113
LFeb 7 · 17:50D. Patalakha—5950O. Tymofeev—111163
LJan 11 · 08:50D. Patalakha—5950O. Tymofeev—1111113
LJan 10 · 20:20D. Patalakha—8111081O. Tymofeev—11812113
D. Patalakha10
WSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171LSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113LSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113WSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591LSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621WSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WSep 5 · 14:30V. Smyk2.388118111D. Patalakha1.5311711133WAug 13 · 18:35M. Skliar1.671188121D. Patalakha2.1091111143
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:00V. Smyk2.501111113O. Tymofeev1.506770WSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LAug 30 · 12:50O. Tymofeev1.4071111872S. Solomko2.75116611113LAug 30 · 10:50D. Khairov1.73711127123O. Tymofeev2.001151011102LAug 30 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.801111113O. Tymofeev1.919980WAug 30 · 07:50O. Tymofeev2.2011119113E. Populovskyi1.61591171LAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101WAug 29 · 19:00E. Populovskyi2.2078111132O. Tymofeev1.61111169113LAug 29 · 17:30O. Tymofeev1.80431171O. Osadchyi1.911111883
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