TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079133
Played Sep 5Finished
Dmytro Patalakha
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101012115119––
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeDmytro Patalakha to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Patalakha above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Dmytro Patalakha at 60.8%
80 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Patalakha 2–0 Fedir Voinarovskyi Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Patalakha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Patalakha 1497 vs Voinarovskyi 1470
Patalakha
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patalakha 80% vs Voinarovskyi 60%
Patalakha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patalakha 60% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
Patalakha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Patalakha -1 · Voinarovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Patalakha) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patalakha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatalakha 1.73 / Voinarovskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Patalakha)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13079133
Patalakha1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 29 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Voinarovskyi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 29 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePatalakha2wins
AwayVoinarovskyi0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPatalakha leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPatalakhaVoinarovskyiP − VBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.042.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatalakhaVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 253 vs 175 / 34448.2%50.9%122 / 253 vs 175 / 344Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatalakhaPatalakha 1.73/Voinarovskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Patalakha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Patalakha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha—121011113F. Voinarovskyi—1012591
WMar 14 · 09:35D. Patalakha—931112113F. Voinarovskyi—111181082
D. Patalakha10
WSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171LSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113LSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621WSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WSep 5 · 14:30V. Smyk2.388118111D. Patalakha1.5311711133WSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102WAug 13 · 18:35M. Skliar1.671188121D. Patalakha2.1091111143
F. Voinarovskyi10
WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123LAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi3.006113111A. Martyniuk1.3611711133LAug 29 · 12:30F. Voinarovskyi3.4091450O. Tymofeev1.30111683WAug 27 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi3.001311113E. Populovskyi1.3611370LAug 27 · 10:50S. Skhabitskiy1.9111911123F. Voinarovskyi1.805116101
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