TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022709
Played Aug 27Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311113117––––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeEduard Populovskyi to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFedir Voinarovskyi above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Eduard Populovskyi at 68.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 1–3 Eduard Populovskyi Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Populovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Populovskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1452 vs Populovskyi 1419
Voinarovskyi
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 40% vs Populovskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 30% vs Populovskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi -2 · Populovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Populovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 3.00 / Populovskyi 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Populovskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022709
Voinarovskyi3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 28 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Populovskyi1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 99 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it83% 74 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi1wins
AwayPopulovskyi3wins
Populovskyi leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPopulovskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi1Populovskyi3n = 4Populovskyi took 3 of 4
S2Voinarovskyi2Populovskyi2n = 4split evenly
S3Voinarovskyi1Populovskyi3n = 4Populovskyi took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiPopulovskyiV − PBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match28.533.0−4.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 335 vs 339 / 68451.3%49.6%172 / 335 vs 339 / 684Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PopulovskyiVoinarovskyi 3.00/Populovskyi 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Populovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Voinarovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 27 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi—1311113E. Populovskyi—11370
LApr 20 · 10:35F. Voinarovskyi—81050E. Populovskyi—1112113
LApr 13 · 10:00F. Voinarovskyi—8840E. Populovskyi—1111113
LApr 6 · 06:35F. Voinarovskyi—1012681E. Populovskyi—121011113
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LAug 29 · 18:00S. Solomko2.10111011113F. Voinarovskyi1.67612691WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123LAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi3.006113111A. Martyniuk1.3611711133LAug 29 · 12:30F. Voinarovskyi3.4091450O. Tymofeev1.30111683LAug 27 · 10:50S. Skhabitskiy1.9111911123F. Voinarovskyi1.805116101
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122WSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113WSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123LSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771LAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100
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