TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084309
Played Sep 6Finished
Eduard Populovskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111144111191412
Anatolii Kovalenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Kovalenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEduard Populovskyi above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 95 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Anatolii Kovalenko at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Populovskyi 17–17 Anatolii Kovalenko Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:49What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kovalenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-17 in 34
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Populovskyi 1428 vs Kovalenko 1411
Populovskyi
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Populovskyi 60% vs Kovalenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Populovskyi 60% vs Kovalenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Populovskyi +1 · Kovalenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPopulovskyi 1.91 / Kovalenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kovalenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084309
Populovskyi1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 54 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Kovalenko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite52% won 75 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it67% 49 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePopulovskyi5wins
AwayKovalenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePopulovskyi80%4 of 5
AwayKovalenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Populovskyi5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Populovskyi5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Populovskyi3Kovalenko7n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S4Populovskyi2Kovalenko3n = 5Kovalenko took 3 of 5
S5Populovskyi3Kovalenko1n = 4Populovskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPopulovskyiKovalenkoP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.237.5−1.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPopulovskyiKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 697 vs 272 / 50948.9%53.4%341 / 697 vs 272 / 509Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoPopulovskyi 1.91/Kovalenko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Populovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:05E. Populovskyi—117771A. Kovalenko—91111113
WAug 31 · 11:35E. Populovskyi—129116113A. Kovalenko—101191182
LAug 17 · 10:35E. Populovskyi—61341192A. Kovalenko—1111116113
LAug 16 · 05:50E. Populovskyi—71080A. Kovalenko—1112113
WAug 10 · 09:20E. Populovskyi—111174123A. Kovalenko—731111102
LAug 7 · 05:00E. Populovskyi—108100A. Kovalenko—1211123
WAug 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi—1111113A. Kovalenko—8940
LAug 1 · 15:00E. Populovskyi—12850A. Kovalenko—1411113
WJul 31 · 06:00E. Populovskyi—1211113A. Kovalenko—10530
WJul 29 · 09:35E. Populovskyi—911611113A. Kovalenko—11911892
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113WSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123LSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 05:05M. Stetsenko3.406116111E. Populovskyi1.3011911133WSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393LSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171WSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123WSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722WSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113WSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.