TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037745
Played Aug 29Finished
Serhii Solomko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161012116119––
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFedir Voinarovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Solomko above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Fedir Voinarovskyi at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Solomko 7–11 Fedir Voinarovskyi Serhii Solomko has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:23What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Voinarovskyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solomko 1520 vs Voinarovskyi 1433
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solomko 80% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
Solomko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solomko 50% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solomko +1 · Voinarovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Voinarovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolomko 2.10 / Voinarovskyi 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Voinarovskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13037745
Solomko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 127 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back24% 37 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 88
Voinarovskyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 44 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolomko3wins
AwayVoinarovskyi7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVoinarovskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolomkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVoinarovskyi75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solomko2Voinarovskyi8n = 10Voinarovskyi took 8 of 10
S2Solomko3Voinarovskyi7n = 10Voinarovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Solomko4Voinarovskyi6n = 10Voinarovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Solomko5Voinarovskyi3n = 8Solomko took 5 of 8
S5Solomko2Voinarovskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSolomkoVoinarovskyiS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.141.4−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolomkoVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime510 / 1007 vs 173 / 33950.7%51%510 / 1007 vs 173 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoinarovskyiSolomko 2.10/Voinarovskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Voinarovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 08:05S. Solomko—911413123F. Voinarovskyi—1151111102
LAug 5 · 06:35S. Solomko—11841142F. Voinarovskyi—811119113
LAug 4 · 16:10S. Solomko—81250F. Voinarovskyi—1114113
WJul 1 · 05:30S. Solomko—631211113F. Voinarovskyi—111110582
LJun 23 · 16:10S. Solomko—941181F. Voinarovskyi—11119113
LJun 10 · 06:35S. Solomko—612751F. Voinarovskyi—111011113
LJun 3 · 05:30S. Solomko—3640F. Voinarovskyi—1111113
WMay 4 · 08:00S. Solomko—11611113F. Voinarovskyi—911981
LApr 30 · 06:30S. Solomko—65111172F. Voinarovskyi—111135113
LMar 23 · 12:20S. Solomko—711771F. Voinarovskyi—11611113
S. Solomko10
LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591WSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Smyk1.8311115113F. Voinarovskyi1.83771121WSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113WAug 29 · 17:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831111123E. Populovskyi1.8353100LAug 29 · 16:00F. Voinarovskyi2.00610100O. Osadchyi1.731112123LAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi3.006113111A. Martyniuk1.3611711133LAug 29 · 12:30F. Voinarovskyi3.4091450O. Tymofeev1.30111683WAug 27 · 12:50F. Voinarovskyi3.001311113E. Populovskyi1.3611370LAug 27 · 10:50S. Skhabitskiy1.9111911123F. Voinarovskyi1.805116101
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