TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037696
Played Aug 29Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311117118118––
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Oleksandr Osadchyi below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 76.6%
70 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 6–0 Oleksandr Osadchyi Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Martyniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Martyniuk
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1502 vs Osadchyi 1543
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 40% vs Osadchyi 80%
Osadchyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 40% vs Osadchyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk -2 · Osadchyi +3
Osadchyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Martyniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 1.25 / Osadchyi 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Martyniuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13037696
Martyniuk1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it68% 39 of 57
Osadchyi3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 114 of 260
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMartyniuk6wins
AwayOsadchyi0wins
3 of 6 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 6–0, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk100%5 of 5
AwayOsadchyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk5Osadchyi1n = 6Martyniuk took 5 of 6
S2Martyniuk4Osadchyi2n = 6Martyniuk took 4 of 6
S3Martyniuk6Osadchyi0n = 6Martyniuk took 6 of 6
S4Martyniuk0Osadchyi3n = 3Osadchyi took 3 of 3
S5Martyniuk3Osadchyi0n = 3Martyniuk took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMartyniukOsadchyiM − OBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.026.8+14.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukOsadchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 314 vs 433 / 85351.6%50.8%162 / 314 vs 433 / 853Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukMartyniuk 1.25/Osadchyi 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 11 · 05:30A. Martyniuk—1111113O. Osadchyi—6470
WAug 5 · 07:35A. Martyniuk—1111113O. Osadchyi—4320
WJul 22 · 11:35A. Martyniuk—119118113O. Osadchyi—51181152
WJul 18 · 16:30A. Martyniuk—1111113O. Osadchyi—2980
WJun 30 · 11:35A. Martyniuk—511118113O. Osadchyi—11971142
WJun 27 · 13:30A. Martyniuk—1181110113O. Osadchyi—31161222
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.361111812113E. Populovskyi3.0066111472LAug 31 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.63611612113A. Martyniuk1.44117111052LAug 29 · 16:30S. Solomko2.1081611123A. Martyniuk1.6711149101LAug 29 · 15:30A. Martyniuk1.53991151O. Tymofeev2.3811119113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141
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