TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049332
Played Aug 31Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012117118116––
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 55.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 8–6 Andrii Martyniuk Andrii Martyniuk has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1552 vs Martyniuk 1499
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Martyniuk 40%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 70% vs Martyniuk 50%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov +1 · Martyniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kolesnykov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.67 / Martyniuk 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049332
Kolesnykov1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 101 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it72% 66 of 92
Martyniuk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov6wins
AwayMartyniuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov80%4 of 5
AwayMartyniuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Martyniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov5Martyniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolesnykov6Martyniuk4n = 10Kolesnykov took 6 of 10
S4Kolesnykov6Martyniuk2n = 8Kolesnykov took 6 of 8
S5Kolesnykov1Martyniuk2n = 3Martyniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovMartyniukK − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.6+2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 674 vs 164 / 31853.4%51.6%360 / 674 vs 164 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.67/Martyniuk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov—101111113A. Martyniuk—127861
LJul 23 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov—11511882A. Martyniuk—611511113
LJul 17 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov—8111161A. Martyniuk—11135113
WJun 30 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov—1011811113A. Martyniuk—12711662
WJun 8 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov—12117113A. Martyniuk—1061181
WDec 1 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov—11911133A. Martyniuk—8115111
WNov 26 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov—11112113A. Martyniuk—861161
WNov 22 · 18:50V. Kolesnykov—111173A. Martyniuk—8440
LNov 14 · 11:30V. Kolesnykov—6730A. Martyniuk—1111113
LNov 8 · 17:20V. Kolesnykov—116111262A. Martyniuk—131141093
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112WSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113LAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113WAug 31 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.6711114113A. Kovalenko2.10961191WAug 31 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.73118611113S. Solomko2.0061111892
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LAug 31 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.73913912112S. Solomko2.0011111110133WAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113WAug 31 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.361111812113E. Populovskyi3.0066111472LAug 31 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.63611612113A. Martyniuk1.44117111052WAug 29 · 18:30A. Martyniuk1.2531111113O. Osadchyi3.75117881LAug 29 · 16:30S. Solomko2.1081611123A. Martyniuk1.6711149101LAug 29 · 15:30A. Martyniuk1.53991151O. Tymofeev2.3811119113WAug 29 · 14:30F. Voinarovskyi3.006113111A. Martyniuk1.3611711133
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