TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048985
Played Aug 31Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116811611118119
Serhii Solomko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeValerii Kolesnykov to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Valerii Kolesnykov at 54.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 21–13 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolesnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-13 in 34
Kolesnykov
Correct
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1544 vs Solomko 1526
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Solomko 40%
Kolesnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Solomko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -2 · Solomko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kolesnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 1.73 / Solomko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kolesnykov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13048985
Kolesnykov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 104 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it73% 68 of 93
Solomko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 129 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back25% 37 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov6wins
AwaySolomko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolesnykov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov100%5 of 5
AwaySolomko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolesnykov5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolesnykov4Solomko0n = 4Kolesnykov took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovSolomkoK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.933.0+1.9per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 671 vs 516 / 101453.4%50.9%358 / 671 vs 516 / 1014Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolesnykovKolesnykov 1.73/Solomko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kolesnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov—118611113S. Solomko—61111892
LAug 27 · 12:05V. Kolesnykov—711121192S. Solomko—118149113
LAug 24 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov—4770S. Solomko—1111113
WJul 23 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov—1112113S. Solomko—81090
LJul 21 · 12:10V. Kolesnykov—9980S. Solomko—1111113
WJul 17 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov—1112113S. Solomko—31040
LJul 14 · 09:30V. Kolesnykov—91270S. Solomko—1114113
WJul 10 · 11:20V. Kolesnykov—1111113S. Solomko—9750
WJul 6 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov—81111113S. Solomko—117981
WJul 3 · 17:00V. Kolesnykov—11511113S. Solomko—711571
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990WSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112WSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113LAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113WAug 31 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.6711114113A. Kovalenko2.10961191WAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861
S. Solomko10
WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113
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