TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060721
Played Sep 2Finished
Valerii Kolesnykov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112101159111311
Oleh Volynets
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingValerii Kolesnykov above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 102 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Oleh Volynets at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Kolesnykov 11–16 Oleh Volynets Valerii Kolesnykov has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-16 in 27
Volynets
Wrong
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnykov 1535 vs Volynets 1473
Kolesnykov
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Volynets 20%
Kolesnykov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnykov 60% vs Volynets 30%
Kolesnykov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnykov -2 · Volynets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Volynets) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnykov 2.20 / Volynets 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Volynets)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13060721
Kolesnykov2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 37 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Volynets1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 89 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it67% 57 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnykov4wins
AwayVolynets6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderVolynets leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnykov60%3 of 5
AwayVolynets80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnykov5Volynets5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnykov4Volynets6n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10
S3Kolesnykov4Volynets6n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10
S4Kolesnykov2Volynets6n = 8Volynets took 6 of 8
S5Kolesnykov4Volynets3n = 7Kolesnykov took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnykovVolynetsK − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.542.5−5.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnykovVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 671 vs 344 / 62853.4%54.8%358 / 671 vs 344 / 628Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsKolesnykov 2.20/Volynets 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolesnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 07:05V. Kolesnykov—961111113O. Volynets—11118992
LJun 16 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov—71111792O. Volynets—118511113
WJun 8 · 09:05V. Kolesnykov—111131113O. Volynets—46111172
LMay 7 · 06:05V. Kolesnykov—115431O. Volynets—41111113
LApr 30 · 05:05V. Kolesnykov—7690O. Volynets—1111113
WMar 17 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov—127127113O. Volynets—1011101172
WMar 12 · 10:35V. Kolesnykov—1111107113O. Volynets—87121182
LMar 10 · 17:40V. Kolesnykov—6760O. Volynets—1111113
LMar 5 · 11:30V. Kolesnykov—11115572O. Volynets—661111113
LMar 2 · 12:05V. Kolesnykov—76141152O. Volynets—1111124113
V. Kolesnykov10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113LSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 09:00A. Kotiash1.801111113V. Kolesnykov1.913990WSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:30V. Kolesnykov2.75781171A. Troyan1.4011116113LAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113WAug 31 · 09:35V. Kolesnykov1.6711114113A. Kovalenko2.10961191WAug 31 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.67101111113A. Martyniuk2.10127861WAug 31 · 06:35V. Kolesnykov1.73118611113S. Solomko2.0061111892
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets1.8351171162A. Troyan1.83118113113
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