TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060608
Played Sep 2Finished
Andrey Troyan
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11912101210––––
Oleh Volynets
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrey Troyan above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 64 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Andrey Troyan 87–56 Oleh Volynets Oleh Volynets has won 56 of their 143 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
87-56 in 143
Troyan
Correct
gap of 31 in 143, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Troyan 1575 vs Volynets 1460
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Troyan 40% vs Volynets 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Troyan 40% vs Volynets 20%
Troyan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Troyan -3 · Volynets +1
Troyan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTroyan 1.80 / Volynets 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Troyan)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060608
Troyan1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 173 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it94% 91 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it79% 129 of 164
Volynets1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 23 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTroyan5wins
AwayVolynets5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTroyan71.4%5 of 7
AwayVolynets100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Troyan7Volynets3n = 10Troyan took 7 of 10
S2Troyan5Volynets5n = 10split evenly
S3Troyan8Volynets2n = 10Troyan took 8 of 10
S4Troyan3Volynets5n = 8Volynets took 5 of 8
S5Troyan1Volynets4n = 5Volynets took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTroyanVolynetsT − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.9+0.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTroyanVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 973 vs 344 / 62847.1%54.8%458 / 973 vs 344 / 628Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanTroyan 1.80/Volynets 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan—1112123O. Volynets—910100
WAug 31 · 06:00A. Troyan—118113113O. Volynets—51171162
WAug 26 · 06:35A. Troyan—12117113O. Volynets—1051191
LAug 25 · 11:30A. Troyan—11712872O. Volynets—6111011113
LAug 19 · 10:08A. Troyan—84121162O. Volynets—1111103113
LAug 19 · 09:05A. Troyan—119111252O. Volynets—911814113
WAug 8 · 08:05A. Troyan—121210113O. Volynets—10101231
WAug 7 · 06:35A. Troyan—1111113O. Volynets—9580
LJul 7 · 12:10A. Troyan—611111252O. Volynets—117414113
LJul 3 · 07:05A. Troyan—481231O. Volynets—111110113
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets1.8351171162A. Troyan1.83118113113
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