TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048833
Played Aug 31Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711511––––
Dmytro Khairov
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Oleh Volynets at 61.2%
49 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 22–17 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 17 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-17 in 39
Volynets
Wrong
gap of 5 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1491 vs Khairov 1536
Khairov
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 20% vs Khairov 60%
Khairov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 50% vs Khairov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -4 · Khairov +1
Volynets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Volynets) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khairov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 1.53 / Khairov 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Volynets)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13048833
Volynets1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 93 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it68% 58 of 85
Khairov2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 37 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolynets8wins
AwayKhairov2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVolynets leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets100%4 of 4
AwayKhairov33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets4Khairov6n = 10Khairov took 6 of 10
S2Volynets5Khairov5n = 10split evenly
S3Volynets8Khairov2n = 10Volynets took 8 of 10
S4Volynets6Khairov1n = 7Volynets took 6 of 7
S5Volynets4Khairov1n = 5Volynets took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolynetsKhairovV − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.338.0+4.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 626 vs 191 / 41355%46.3%344 / 626 vs 191 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsVolynets 1.53/Khairov 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khairov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 09:35O. Volynets—951111113D. Khairov—11118782
WAug 20 · 09:35O. Volynets—111111113D. Khairov—913951
WJun 8 · 11:35O. Volynets—1111113D. Khairov—4970
WJun 3 · 07:05O. Volynets—1111113D. Khairov—6860
WJun 1 · 10:35O. Volynets—1071111113D. Khairov—12116762
WMay 21 · 06:05O. Volynets—571112133D. Khairov—1111810112
WMay 19 · 09:00O. Volynets—1311123D. Khairov—119100
LMay 16 · 06:35O. Volynets—5111461D. Khairov—11816113
LMay 12 · 15:40O. Volynets—101151492D. Khairov—1211112113
WApr 8 · 07:00O. Volynets—1131111113D. Khairov—13114962
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets1.8351171162A. Troyan1.83118113113
D. Khairov10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951
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