TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048615
Played Aug 31Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511118711113611
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 84 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 56–86 Andrey Troyan Oleh Volynets has won 56 of their 142 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-86 in 142
Troyan
Correct
gap of 30 in 142, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1483 vs Troyan 1599
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 40% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 50% vs Troyan 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -2 · Troyan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 1.83 / Troyan 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Troyan)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13048615
Volynets1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Troyan1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolynets6wins
AwayTroyan4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVolynets leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets100%4 of 4
AwayTroyan66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S2Volynets6Troyan4n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10
S3Volynets3Troyan7n = 10Troyan took 7 of 10
S4Volynets5Troyan3n = 8Volynets took 5 of 8
S5Volynets4Troyan1n = 5Volynets took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolynetsTroyanV − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.1+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 628 vs 460 / 97354.9%47.3%345 / 628 vs 460 / 973Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanVolynets 1.83/Troyan 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets—51171162A. Troyan—118113113
LAug 26 · 06:35O. Volynets—1051191A. Troyan—12117113
WAug 25 · 11:30O. Volynets—6111011113A. Troyan—11712872
WAug 19 · 10:08O. Volynets—1111103113A. Troyan—84121162
WAug 19 · 09:05O. Volynets—911814113A. Troyan—119111252
LAug 8 · 08:05O. Volynets—10101231A. Troyan—121210113
LAug 7 · 06:35O. Volynets—9580A. Troyan—1111113
WJul 7 · 12:10O. Volynets—117414113A. Troyan—611111252
WJul 3 · 07:05O. Volynets—111110113A. Troyan—481231
WJun 3 · 10:35O. Volynets—1111113A. Troyan—8860
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100
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