TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061849
Played Sep 2Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911114118118––
Oleh Volynets
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:33 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleh Volynets at 58.6%
73 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 2–3 Oleh Volynets Andrii Kotiash has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:33What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1592 vs Volynets 1460
Kotiash
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 20% vs Volynets 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 40% vs Volynets 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash +1 · Volynets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Volynets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 2.38 / Volynets 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Volynets)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13061849
Kotiash2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 63 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Volynets1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 91 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it80% 40 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it66% 58 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKotiash2wins
AwayVolynets3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderVolynets leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotiashn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVolynets66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotiash2Volynets3n = 5Volynets took 3 of 5
S2Kotiash3Volynets2n = 5Kotiash took 3 of 5
S3Kotiash2Volynets3n = 5Volynets took 3 of 5
S4Kotiash2Volynets1n = 3Kotiash took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKotiashVolynetsK − VBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match35.236.0−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 456 vs 339 / 62348.3%54.4%220 / 456 vs 339 / 623Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsKotiash 2.38/Volynets 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.4%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kotiash won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash—91111113O. Volynets—114881
LAug 26 · 11:05A. Kotiash—116891O. Volynets—81111113
WJul 9 · 05:30A. Kotiash—1111123O. Volynets—78100
LMay 10 · 14:30A. Kotiash—107100O. Volynets—1211123
LApr 29 · 07:00A. Kotiash—41151182O. Volynets—118117113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113WSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:30A. Kotiash2.635141211113R. Sopivnyk1.44111610972LSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.10631211153A. Troyan1.671111107132WSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets1.8351171162A. Troyan1.83118113113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kotiash
Nothing scheduled
O. Volynets
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