TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049347
Played Aug 31Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
141211661111131113
Ihor Emets
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Ihor Emets below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 108 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Oleh Volynets at 58.9%
108 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 4–4 Ihor Emets Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1479 vs Emets 1486
Emets
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 0% vs Emets 40%
Emets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 40% vs Emets 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -5 · Emets -2
Volynets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Volynets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 1.57 / Emets 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Volynets)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13049347
Volynets1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 93 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it68% 58 of 85
Emets2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 51 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVolynets4wins
AwayEmets4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets66.7%4 of 6
AwayEmetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets6Emets2n = 8Volynets took 6 of 8
S2Volynets6Emets2n = 8Volynets took 6 of 8
S3Volynets3Emets5n = 8Emets took 5 of 8
S4Volynets2Emets2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricVolynetsEmetsV − EBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match33.632.4+1.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsEmetsBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 627 vs 252 / 49654.9%50.8%344 / 627 vs 252 / 496Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsVolynets 1.57/Emets 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 25 · 09:30O. Volynets—11991152I. Emets—911115113
LAug 20 · 11:05O. Volynets—11116742I. Emets—291111113
LAug 14 · 11:50O. Volynets—5590I. Emets—1111113
LJul 9 · 09:30O. Volynets—711421I. Emets—11911113
WMay 19 · 07:00O. Volynets—1111113I. Emets—7490
WMay 7 · 10:05O. Volynets—12119113I. Emets—1081181
WDec 2 · 06:35O. Volynets—1111113I. Emets—4660
WNov 24 · 08:00O. Volynets—1111113I. Emets—6680
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:00O. Volynets1.8351171162A. Troyan1.83118113113
I. Emets10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets1.441111113A. Troyan2.636860WSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380LSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113
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