TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060435
Played Sep 2Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118116––––
Andrey Troyan
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 65.8% is still 65.8%
Graded at full timeIhor Emets to win
65.8%
65.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Ihor Emets at 65.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 21–4 Andrey Troyan Andrey Troyan has won 4 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Emets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-4 in 25
Emets
Correct
gap of 17 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1489 vs Troyan 1582
Troyan
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 40% vs Troyan 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Troyan 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets +1 · Troyan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Emets) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Emets form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.44 / Troyan 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Emets)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13060435
Emets1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 71 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Troyan2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 56 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets8wins
AwayTroyan2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderEmets leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets88.9%8 of 9
AwayTroyann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets9Troyan1n = 10Emets took 9 of 10
S2Emets4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S3Emets6Troyan4n = 10Emets took 6 of 10
S4Emets5Troyan2n = 7Emets took 5 of 7
S5Emets2Troyan1n = 3Emets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsTroyanE − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.932.0+6.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 500 vs 458 / 97350.8%47.1%254 / 500 vs 458 / 973Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EmetsEmets 1.44/Troyan 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Emets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Emets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 05:00I. Emets—11511113A. Troyan—911441
LAug 25 · 05:00I. Emets—7660A. Troyan—1111113
WJul 21 · 10:05I. Emets—11911113A. Troyan—811751
WJul 13 · 08:05I. Emets—111189113A. Troyan—47111172
LJul 6 · 10:05I. Emets—11961192A. Troyan—311115113
WJul 1 · 08:30I. Emets—1191110113A. Troyan—91171262
WJun 29 · 05:00I. Emets—1111113A. Troyan—9930
WJun 24 · 05:00I. Emets—1111113A. Troyan—3380
WJun 15 · 05:35I. Emets—11113113A. Troyan—681181
WJun 12 · 08:30I. Emets—11711113A. Troyan—811871
I. Emets10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380LSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113WAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Khairov2.204580A. Troyan1.611111113WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892
Upcoming Matches
I. Emets
Nothing scheduled
A. Troyan
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