TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088743
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Leonenko
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012115611511––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 72.2% is still 72.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
72.2%
72.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 72.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 0–9 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Leonenko has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-9 in 9
Lipeiko
Correct
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonenko 1454 vs Lipeiko 1370
Leonenko
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonenko 40% vs Lipeiko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonenko 70% vs Lipeiko 20%
Leonenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonenko +1 · Lipeiko -3
Lipeiko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lipeiko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 3.75 / Lipeiko 1.25
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Lipeiko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13088743
Leonenko3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 75 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 60
Lipeiko1.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 62 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it74% 50 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLeonenko0wins
AwayLipeiko9wins
Lipeiko leads 9–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayLipeiko100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonenko0Lipeiko9n = 9Lipeiko took 9 of 9
S2Leonenko2Lipeiko7n = 9Lipeiko took 7 of 9
S3Leonenko2Lipeiko7n = 9Lipeiko took 7 of 9
S4Leonenko0Lipeiko4n = 4Lipeiko took 4 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away556%
These 9 meetings
MetricLeonenkoLipeikoLeonenko − LipeikoBasisWins09−9in 9 meetingsFirst set09−9of 9Avg pointsper match26.036.2−10.2per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 840 vs 242 / 50651.8%47.8%435 / 840 vs 242 / 506Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoLeonenko 3.75/Lipeiko 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.2%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko—1011651O. Lipeiko—12511113
LJun 29 · 12:20O. Leonenko—10790O. Lipeiko—1211113
LJun 14 · 15:50O. Leonenko—881391O. Lipeiko—111111113
LJun 11 · 06:50O. Leonenko—10260O. Lipeiko—1211113
LMay 28 · 08:20O. Leonenko—10930O. Lipeiko—1211113
LMay 25 · 12:20O. Leonenko—8490O. Lipeiko—1111113
LMay 18 · 10:20O. Leonenko—6380O. Lipeiko—1111113
LJan 20 · 09:00O. Leonenko—671161O. Lipeiko—11119113
LJun 18 · 18:20O. Leonenko—811651O. Lipeiko—11011113
O. Leonenko10
WSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152LSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113LSep 6 · 16:30V. Smyk2.631112113O. Leonenko1.4481080WSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212WSep 3 · 10:20M. Stetsenko1.809117101O. Leonenko1.9111811123WSep 3 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.831111143A. Kovalenko1.8387120WSep 3 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.20118111132O. Leonenko1.61711413113
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861LSep 2 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.731111113O. Lipeiko2.003730
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