TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088658
Played Sep 7Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411113711118113
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 69.7% is still 69.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
69.7%
69.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 80 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 69.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 1–7 Oleksandr Lipeiko Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Lipeiko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Lipeiko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1410 vs Lipeiko 1370
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 20% vs Lipeiko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 50% vs Lipeiko 30%
Klymenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -2 · Lipeiko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Lipeiko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 3.40 / Lipeiko 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Lipeiko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088658
Klymenko3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 80 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back20% 21 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 59
Lipeiko1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 62 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it74% 50 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKlymenko1wins
AwayLipeiko7wins
1 of 8 to a deciderLipeiko leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLipeiko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko2Lipeiko6n = 8Lipeiko took 6 of 8
S2Klymenko2Lipeiko6n = 8Lipeiko took 6 of 8
S3Klymenko2Lipeiko6n = 8Lipeiko took 6 of 8
S4Klymenko0Lipeiko5n = 5Lipeiko took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricKlymenkoLipeikoK − LBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match30.241.4−11.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 860 vs 242 / 50651.9%47.8%446 / 860 vs 242 / 506Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoKlymenko 3.40/Lipeiko 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.9%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJun 25 · 08:20K. Klymenko—116461O. Lipeiko—91111113
LJun 23 · 22:40K. Klymenko—8450O. Lipeiko—1111113
WJun 11 · 10:50K. Klymenko—511114123O. Lipeiko—119911102
LMar 24 · 15:40K. Klymenko—51350O. Lipeiko—1115113
LJan 19 · 08:35K. Klymenko—1281081O. Lipeiko—101112113
LJan 8 · 09:20K. Klymenko—611891O. Lipeiko—11811113
LJun 18 · 16:20K. Klymenko—62130O. Lipeiko—1111153
LJun 4 · 18:50K. Klymenko—5915101O. Lipeiko—111113123
K. Klymenko10
LSep 7 · 08:05K. Klymenko2.75139461O. Shyshman1.40111111113LSep 7 · 06:35K. Klymenko2.639780A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191LSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 15:00V. Smyk1.5711791192K. Klymenko2.25411113113WSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.611111613103K. Klymenko2.2047111552WSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143WSep 4 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.73881111113A. Kovalenko2.0011118722
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123LSep 2 · 12:05O. Lipeiko1.83111011852S. Solomko1.83812711113LSep 2 · 10:05A. Kurtenko1.8091111113O. Lipeiko1.91119861
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