TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022519
Played Aug 27Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11881112101315411
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:59 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 103 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 59.3%
103 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 41–29 Volodymyr Melnykov Volodymyr Melnykov has won 29 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mytsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-29 in 70
Mytsyk
Wrong
gap of 12 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1365 vs Melnykov 1367
Melnykov
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 40% vs Melnykov 60%
Melnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 50% vs Melnykov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -2 · Melnykov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnykov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.61 / Melnykov 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13022519
Mytsyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 175 of 319
Up 2–0, closes it88% 85 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it77% 131 of 170
Melnykov2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 61 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk7wins
AwayMelnykov3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMytsyk leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayMelnykov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk7Melnykov3n = 10Mytsyk took 7 of 10
S2Mytsyk5Melnykov5n = 10split evenly
S3Mytsyk6Melnykov4n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S4Mytsyk5Melnykov4n = 9Mytsyk took 5 of 9
S5Mytsyk4Melnykov3n = 7Mytsyk took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykMelnykovMytsyk − MelnykovBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.842.6+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 1066 vs 251 / 55350%45.4%533 / 1066 vs 251 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.61/Melnykov 2.20
Miss
What we said
58.5%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Melnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 07:00O. Mytsyk—111110113V. Melnykov—861261
LJul 27 · 07:50O. Mytsyk—1111101072V. Melnykov—691212113
WJul 26 · 17:00O. Mytsyk—1181315113V. Melnykov—511151392
WJul 19 · 15:00O. Mytsyk—911118113V. Melnykov—11891182
WJul 6 · 10:50O. Mytsyk—1110148113V. Melnykov—912121162
WJul 5 · 14:30O. Mytsyk—1111113V. Melnykov—6790
LJul 2 · 06:50O. Mytsyk—79111142V. Melnykov—111177113
WJun 29 · 10:50O. Mytsyk—11611113V. Melnykov—811841
LJun 28 · 15:00O. Mytsyk—83111192V. Melnykov—111189113
WJun 23 · 22:10O. Mytsyk—111178113V. Melnykov—96111172
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151WSep 3 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.001011811113O. Ovsiienko1.7312711262
V. Melnykov10
LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113WSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113LSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LAug 27 · 11:30O. Ovsiienko1.731111113V. Melnykov2.006990LAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123WAug 27 · 06:00V. Mukhin3.50761151V. Melnykov1.2811116113WAug 27 · 05:00K. Klymenko3.2581120V. Melnykov1.331111143
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