TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477767
Played Aug 23Finished
Denys Khavanskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911611––––
Volodymyr Varchenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:13 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
811911611––––
H2H Denys Khavanskyi 3–2 Volodymyr Varchenko Volodymyr Varchenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khavanskyi 1248 vs Varchenko 1170
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khavanskyi 0% vs Varchenko 20%
Varchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khavanskyi 0% vs Varchenko 40%
Varchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khavanskyi -5 · Varchenko -2
Khavanskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhavanskyi 1.50 / Varchenko 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477767
Khavanskyi1.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite23% won 5 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Varchenko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 13 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKhavanskyi3wins
AwayVarchenko2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhavanskyi100%3 of 3
AwayVarchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khavanskyi3Varchenko2n = 5Khavanskyi took 3 of 5
S2Khavanskyi2Varchenko3n = 5Varchenko took 3 of 5
S3Khavanskyi3Varchenko2n = 5Khavanskyi took 3 of 5
S4Khavanskyi3Varchenko0n = 3Khavanskyi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKhavanskyiVarchenkoK − VBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.433.4+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhavanskyiVarchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 306 vs 96 / 21851.3%44%157 / 306 vs 96 / 218Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiKhavanskyi 1.50/Varchenko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.5%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WDec 20 · 08:20D. Khavanskyi—11138113V. Varchenko—9111161
WDec 19 · 22:50D. Khavanskyi—11811113V. Varchenko—611871
LDec 13 · 08:35D. Khavanskyi—10910V. Varchenko—1211113
WDec 2 · 12:40D. Khavanskyi—1111123V. Varchenko—49100
LAug 23 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi—65111162V. Varchenko—111135113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113WSep 3 · 06:35D. Khavanskyi1.671111113S. Semenets2.109980LSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113
V. Varchenko10
LSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102LSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821LSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152WSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113LAug 23 · 08:35V. Varchenko2.389640S. Semenets1.531111113WAug 23 · 07:35O. Stopin2.10611101142V. Varchenko1.67114124113LAug 23 · 06:05V. Varchenko1.83101060Y. Korotin1.831212113LAug 22 · 11:30V. Varchenko3.2511751162V. Kondratenko1.33511118113
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