TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477989
Played Aug 23Finished
Volodymyr Varchenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611411––––
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:00 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
911611411––––
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 5–8 Serhii Semenets Volodymyr Varchenko has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Semenets
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1170 vs Semenets 1240
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 20% vs Semenets 60%
Semenets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 40% vs Semenets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko -2 · Semenets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 2.38 / Semenets 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Semenets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477989
Varchenko2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 13 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Semenets1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 101 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it73% 75 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarchenko2wins
AwaySemenets8wins
Semenets leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarchenko50%2 of 4
AwaySemenets100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S2Varchenko4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Varchenko1Semenets9n = 10Semenets took 9 of 10
S4Varchenko2Semenets5n = 7Semenets took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarchenkoSemenetsV − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.238.1−4.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 218 vs 408 / 81544%50.1%96 / 218 vs 408 / 815Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsVarchenko 2.38/Semenets 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 06:30V. Varchenko—101190S. Semenets—1213113
LAug 16 · 12:05V. Varchenko—6780S. Semenets—1111113
WAug 9 · 11:05V. Varchenko—11118133S. Semenets—6511111
LAug 5 · 15:30V. Varchenko—119661S. Semenets—91111113
LAug 2 · 09:20V. Varchenko—121212101S. Semenets—101414123
LJul 31 · 12:30V. Varchenko—8131091S. Semenets—111112113
LJul 25 · 11:00V. Varchenko—711551S. Semenets—11711113
LJul 15 · 18:30V. Varchenko—1031161S. Semenets—12119113
LJul 11 · 11:30V. Varchenko—91040S. Semenets—1112113
WNov 8 · 07:05V. Varchenko—11116113S. Semenets—751121
V. Varchenko10
LSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102LSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821LSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152WSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113WAug 23 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.508960V. Varchenko2.501111113WAug 23 · 07:35O. Stopin2.10611101142V. Varchenko1.67114124113LAug 23 · 06:05V. Varchenko1.83101060Y. Korotin1.831212113LAug 22 · 11:30V. Varchenko3.2511751162V. Kondratenko1.33511118113
S. Semenets10
WSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121
Upcoming Matches
V. Varchenko
Nothing scheduled
S. Semenets
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