TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477699
Played Aug 23Finished
Volodymyr Varchenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012611––––
Yevhenii Korotin
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Varchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
10121012611––––
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 4–3 Yevhenii Korotin Yevhenii Korotin has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:01What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Korotin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1168 vs Korotin 1292
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 20% vs Korotin 60%
Korotin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 40% vs Korotin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko -2 · Korotin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Korotin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 1.83 / Korotin 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Korotin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477699
Varchenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Korotin1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVarchenko4wins
AwayKorotin3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderVarchenko leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarchenko60%3 of 5
AwayKorotinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko5Korotin2n = 7Varchenko took 5 of 7
S2Varchenko4Korotin3n = 7Varchenko took 4 of 7
S3Varchenko3Korotin4n = 7Korotin took 4 of 7
S4Varchenko2Korotin2n = 4split evenly
S5Varchenko2Korotin2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricVarchenkoKorotinV − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.638.6+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoKorotinBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 223 vs 101 / 19844%51%98 / 223 vs 101 / 198Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorotinVarchenko 1.83/Korotin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Korotin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 23 · 06:05V. Varchenko—101060Y. Korotin—1212113
LAug 5 · 14:30V. Varchenko—111013672Y. Korotin—6121111113
LApr 19 · 10:40V. Varchenko—11981192Y. Korotin—911118113
WMar 31 · 15:10V. Varchenko—1111123Y. Korotin—46100
WMar 29 · 14:40V. Varchenko—411312113Y. Korotin—117111092
WMar 22 · 11:40V. Varchenko—111289113Y. Korotin—610111142
WDec 7 · 18:10V. Varchenko—1113133Y. Korotin—211110
V. Varchenko10
LSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102LSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821LSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152WSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113WAug 23 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.508960V. Varchenko2.501111113LAug 23 · 08:35V. Varchenko2.389640S. Semenets1.531111113WAug 23 · 07:35O. Stopin2.10611101142V. Varchenko1.67114124113LAug 22 · 11:30V. Varchenko3.2511751162V. Kondratenko1.33511118113
Y. Korotin10
WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113LAug 30 · 15:10Y. Korotin2.7571080O. Mytsyk1.401112113WAug 30 · 13:40Y. Korotin1.73119118113M. Khalenko2.0091141162LAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113LAug 30 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.501161181K. Klymenko1.5091113113
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