TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067260
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitalii Korniichuk
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121051110121131210
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Korniichuk above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 58.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Korniichuk 4–3 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korniichuk 1309 vs Semenets 1286
Korniichuk
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korniichuk 40% vs Semenets 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korniichuk 30% vs Semenets 50%
Semenets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korniichuk -1 · Semenets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Korniichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korniichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorniichuk 1.61 / Semenets 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Korniichuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067260
Korniichuk1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 70 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Semenets2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 43 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKorniichuk4wins
AwaySemenets3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorniichuk75%3 of 4
AwaySemenets66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korniichuk4Semenets3n = 7Korniichuk took 4 of 7
S2Korniichuk2Semenets5n = 7Semenets took 5 of 7
S3Korniichuk5Semenets2n = 7Korniichuk took 5 of 7
S4Korniichuk2Semenets4n = 6Semenets took 4 of 6
S5Korniichuk3Semenets1n = 4Korniichuk took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKorniichukSemenetsK − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.041.7−0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorniichukSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 494 vs 417 / 82555.1%50.6%272 / 494 vs 417 / 825Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukKorniichuk 1.61/Semenets 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk—11791182S. Semenets—911119113
LAug 24 · 06:35V. Korniichuk—691181S. Semenets—11118113
WMay 19 · 09:05V. Korniichuk—1111115113S. Semenets—91321192
WApr 27 · 11:05V. Korniichuk—1111113S. Semenets—9970
WApr 24 · 10:30V. Korniichuk—611119113S. Semenets—11561192
WApr 22 · 10:30V. Korniichuk—116712113S. Semenets—911111072
LApr 20 · 10:30V. Korniichuk—4101151S. Semenets—11127113
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 10:05V. Korniichuk1.20111011113S. Osipov4.33712541WSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970LSep 3 · 07:35V. Korniichuk1.3671111882V. Stukalov3.00119611113LSep 1 · 11:35V. Korniichuk1.61111411682D. Khavanskyi2.20716911113WSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113WSep 1 · 07:35V. Stukalov3.00661141V. Korniichuk1.3611118113
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121WSep 1 · 08:35V. Korniichuk1.5311791182S. Semenets2.38911119113
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