TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048781
Played Aug 31Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711411118911––
Volodymyr Bilobrov
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Bilobrov to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Volodymyr Bilobrov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Volodymyr Bilobrov at 67.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 0–3 Volodymyr Bilobrov Ihor Emets has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Bilobrov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Bilobrov
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1486 vs Bilobrov 1578
Bilobrov
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 40% vs Bilobrov 20%
Emets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Bilobrov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets -1 · Bilobrov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bilobrov) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilobrov form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 3.40 / Bilobrov 1.30
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Bilobrov)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13048781
Emets3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 51 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Bilobrov1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 31 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeEmets0wins
AwayBilobrov3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBilobrov leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmetsn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBilobrov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets0Bilobrov3n = 3Bilobrov took 3 of 3
S2Emets1Bilobrov2n = 3Bilobrov took 2 of 3
S3Emets1Bilobrov2n = 3Bilobrov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricEmetsBilobrovE − BBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match29.041.7−12.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsBilobrovBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 496 vs 71 / 15650.8%45.5%252 / 496 vs 71 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BilobrovEmets 3.40/Bilobrov 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Bilobrov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bilobrov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 25 · 07:00I. Emets—26120V. Bilobrov—1111143
LJun 15 · 10:05I. Emets—711871V. Bilobrov—11711113
LMay 25 · 08:30I. Emets—45111132V. Bilobrov—111197113
I. Emets10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561WSep 3 · 08:30I. Emets1.7341111113E. Populovskyi2.00114581LSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113LSep 3 · 05:00I. Emets1.501178101S. Solomko2.5051111123LSep 2 · 10:30A. Kotiash1.831111711113I. Emets1.8381311572WSep 2 · 09:30I. Emets1.441111113A. Troyan2.636860WSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380LSep 2 · 07:00I. Emets1.9167121182V. Kolesnykov1.801111104113LSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113
V. Bilobrov10
LAug 31 · 11:30V. Bilobrov1.91111197102A. Troyan1.80981111123WAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113LAug 31 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.7512911482O. Karpenko1.401011411113LAug 31 · 05:30D. Khairov1.801111123V. Bilobrov1.9148100LAug 25 · 11:00V. Bilobrov2.3881180O. Karpenko1.531113113LAug 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4411611113V. Bilobrov2.63911971LAug 25 · 08:00V. Bilobrov1.9111113462A. Troyan1.80961111113WAug 25 · 07:00I. Emets2.5026120V. Bilobrov1.501111143WAug 25 · 05:30V. Bilobrov1.44117914113O. Volynets2.63711111242WAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
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