TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043790
Played Aug 30Finished
Dmytro Khairov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1131191012311411
Stepan Hryhorenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Khairov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Khairov above · Stepan Hryhorenko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 85 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Dmytro Khairov at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Khairov 3–1 Stepan Hryhorenko Stepan Hryhorenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khairov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Khairov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khairov 1521 vs Hryhorenko 1493
Khairov
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khairov 20% vs Hryhorenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khairov 50% vs Hryhorenko 20%
Khairov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khairov +1 · Hryhorenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khairov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhorenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhairov 1.80 / Hryhorenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khairov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13043790
Khairov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 51 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it82% 36 of 44
Hryhorenko1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog30% won 24 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKhairov3wins
AwayHryhorenko1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderKhairov leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khairov2Hryhorenko2n = 4split evenly
S2Khairov3Hryhorenko1n = 4Khairov took 3 of 4
S3Khairov1Hryhorenko3n = 4Hryhorenko took 3 of 4
S4Khairov3Hryhorenko1n = 4Khairov took 3 of 4
S5Khairov2Hryhorenko1n = 3Khairov took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKhairovHryhorenkoK − HBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match43.242.5+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhairovHryhorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 413 vs 45 / 12445.8%36.3%189 / 413 vs 45 / 124Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.334.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhairovKhairov 1.80/Hryhorenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Khairov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hryhorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 21 · 09:35D. Khairov—311111142S. Hryhorenko—118137113
WJul 4 · 05:30D. Khairov—111012113S. Hryhorenko—7121081
WJun 13 · 08:35D. Khairov—411811113S. Hryhorenko—11911852
WJun 12 · 06:05D. Khairov—111146123S. Hryhorenko—431111102
D. Khairov10
WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov2.10124591D. Khairov1.67101111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880LSep 3 · 11:00D. Khairov1.734111031E. Populovskyi2.0011612113WSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 08:00D. Khairov1.50151146113S. Solomko2.50138111142WSep 3 · 07:00I. Emets1.6710750D. Khairov2.101211113WSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151LSep 2 · 11:00V. Kolesnykov2.2551111113D. Khairov1.57119441LSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:30I. Emets1.831211113D. Khairov1.8310380
S. Hryhorenko10
LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113LSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141LSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113WSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko2.209650S. Hryhorenko1.611111113WSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690LAug 30 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.73881161E. Populovskyi2.0011117113WAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.837620S. Hryhorenko1.831111113WAug 30 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.611281111113S. Solomko2.2014114782WAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101LAug 17 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.441111113S. Hryhorenko2.638840
Upcoming Matches
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S. Hryhorenko
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