TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043781
Played Aug 30Finished
Stepan Hryhorenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811117611––
Eduard Populovskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Hryhorenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingStepan Hryhorenko above · Eduard Populovskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Stepan Hryhorenko at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hryhorenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hryhorenko 1531 vs Populovskyi 1374
Hryhorenko
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hryhorenko 80% vs Populovskyi 20%
Hryhorenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hryhorenko 50% vs Populovskyi 20%
Hryhorenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hryhorenko +4 · Populovskyi -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hryhorenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Populovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhorenko 1.73 / Populovskyi 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Hryhorenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13043781
Hryhorenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite49% won 20 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it64% 16 of 25
Populovskyi2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog32% won 49 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorenkoPopulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 127 vs 339 / 68837.8%49.3%48 / 127 vs 339 / 688Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorenkoHryhorenko 1.73/Populovskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Hryhorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Populovskyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Hryhorenko10
LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113LSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141LSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113WSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko2.209650S. Hryhorenko1.611111113WSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690WAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.837620S. Hryhorenko1.831111113WAug 30 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.611281111113S. Solomko2.2014114782WAug 30 · 08:20D. Khairov1.80111110342S. Hryhorenko1.91391211113WAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101LAug 17 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.441111113S. Hryhorenko2.638840
E. Populovskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:50E. Populovskyi1.91811411143A. Kovalenko1.80114119122WSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113WSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 09:05K. Klymenko3.4059100E. Populovskyi1.301111123LSep 4 · 07:05A. Kovalenko1.8391111113E. Populovskyi1.83117771WSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113
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