TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060668
Played Sep 2Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611511––––
Stepan Hryhorenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeStepan Hryhorenko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Stepan Hryhorenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Stepan Hryhorenko at 57.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 0–1 Stepan Hryhorenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hryhorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1440 vs Hryhorenko 1500
Hryhorenko
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 20% vs Hryhorenko 80%
Hryhorenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 60% vs Hryhorenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -2 · Hryhorenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hryhorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhorenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.20 / Hryhorenko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Hryhorenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060668
Kurtenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 66 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Hryhorenko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite49% won 24 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it64% 18 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKurtenko0wins
AwayHryhorenko1wins
Hryhorenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKurtenkoHryhorenkoK − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoHryhorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 642 vs 50 / 13352.5%37.6%337 / 642 vs 50 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorenkoKurtenko 2.20/Hryhorenko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Hryhorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hryhorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko—9650S. Hryhorenko—1111113
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 5 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8311119113V. Smyk1.83471141WSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621LSep 5 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10851251O. Tymofeev1.6711111073LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.831112651S. Solomko1.83131011113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3.5011381272F. Voinarovskyi1.286111110113LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko1.807111131S. Solomko1.9111110153LSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets1.53111111113A. Kurtenko2.38133561LSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:30A. Kurtenko1.911111133E. Populovskyi1.8058110LSep 3 · 05:30D. Khairov1.40111313113A. Kurtenko2.753151151
S. Hryhorenko10
LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113LSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141LSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113WSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690LAug 30 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.73881161E. Populovskyi2.0011117113WAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.837620S. Hryhorenko1.831111113WAug 30 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.611281111113S. Solomko2.2014114782WAug 30 · 08:20D. Khairov1.80111110342S. Hryhorenko1.91391211113WAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101LAug 17 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.441111113S. Hryhorenko2.638840
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