TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043914
Played Aug 30Finished
Stepan Hryhorenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214811114117118
Serhii Solomko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeStepan Hryhorenko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Hryhorenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Stepan Hryhorenko at 57.7%
97 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Hryhorenko 1–0 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hryhorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hryhorenko 1505 vs Solomko 1502
Hryhorenko
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hryhorenko 40% vs Solomko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hryhorenko 30% vs Solomko 50%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hryhorenko +2 · Solomko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hryhorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhorenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhorenko 1.61 / Solomko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Hryhorenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13043914
Hryhorenko1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite49% won 20 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it64% 16 of 25
Solomko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 128 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back25% 37 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHryhorenko1wins
AwaySolomko0wins
Hryhorenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHryhorenkoSolomkoH − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.032.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 125 vs 511 / 101036.8%50.6%46 / 125 vs 511 / 1010Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HryhorenkoHryhorenko 1.61/Solomko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Hryhorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hryhorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 6 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko—91111113S. Solomko—115791
S. Hryhorenko10
LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113LSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141LSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113WSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko2.209650S. Hryhorenko1.611111113WSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690LAug 30 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.73881161E. Populovskyi2.0011117113WAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.837620S. Hryhorenko1.831111113WAug 30 · 08:20D. Khairov1.80111110342S. Hryhorenko1.91391211113WAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101LAug 17 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.441111113S. Hryhorenko2.638840
S. Solomko10
WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281WSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113
Upcoming Matches
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