TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060620
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
112411711311––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 60 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 59.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 63–92 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 63 of their 155 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-92 in 155
Solomko
Correct
gap of 29 in 155, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1560 vs Solomko 1586
Solomko
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 80% vs Solomko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 70% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +2 · Solomko +4
Solomko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.25 / Solomko 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Solomko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13060620
Osadchyi2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 114 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 78
Solomko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 132 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it92% 65 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it80% 94 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi4wins
AwaySolomko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi40%2 of 5
AwaySolomko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Osadchyi3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S3Osadchyi5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Osadchyi3Solomko5n = 8Solomko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoO − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.836.4−2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 859 vs 521 / 101851%51.2%438 / 859 vs 521 / 1018Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoOsadchyi 2.25/Solomko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi—12511113S. Solomko—1011731
LSep 2 · 06:35O. Osadchyi—114731S. Solomko—21111113
WAug 30 · 07:20O. Osadchyi—91111113S. Solomko—119551
LAug 29 · 12:00O. Osadchyi—118961S. Solomko—91111113
LAug 27 · 06:35O. Osadchyi—9111181S. Solomko—11138113
LAug 24 · 08:30O. Osadchyi—10320S. Solomko—1211113
WAug 5 · 11:05O. Osadchyi—1191111113S. Solomko—13118992
WAug 2 · 05:00O. Osadchyi—1111113S. Solomko—3850
LAug 1 · 18:30O. Osadchyi—1011621S. Solomko—12411113
LJul 29 · 10:35O. Osadchyi—1333101S. Solomko—111111123
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 3 · 10:30O. Osadchyi1.53117651I. Emets2.3851111113LSep 3 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.737410D. Khairov2.001111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Osadchyi1.6781111113A. Kurtenko2.10114571WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731WSep 3 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.30119118113E. Populovskyi3.4031161172WSep 2 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.7311711123A. Kurtenko2.006115101WSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141
S. Solomko10
WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi2.2012511113S. Solomko1.611011731
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