TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044694
Played Aug 30Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119118113––
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Stetsenko 10–14 Sergii Skhabitskiy Maksym Stetsenko has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1389 vs Skhabitskiy 1457
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 20% vs Skhabitskiy 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 40% vs Skhabitskiy 60%
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko +1 · Skhabitskiy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skhabitskiy form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 1.83 / Skhabitskiy 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13044694
Stetsenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Skhabitskiy1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStetsenko6wins
AwaySkhabitskiy4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStetsenko60%3 of 5
AwaySkhabitskiy40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stetsenko5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S2Stetsenko7Skhabitskiy3n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S3Stetsenko5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Stetsenko4Skhabitskiy6n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S5Stetsenko3Skhabitskiy2n = 5Stetsenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStetsenkoSkhabitskiyStetsenko − SkhabitskiyBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.141.0+0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 830 vs 489 / 109852.5%44.5%436 / 830 vs 489 / 1098Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiyStetsenko 1.83/Skhabitskiy 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:20M. Stetsenko—111195113S. Skhabitskiy—59111142
LAug 23 · 17:40M. Stetsenko—1011551S. Skhabitskiy—12711113
LAug 20 · 05:50M. Stetsenko—11114362S. Skhabitskiy—481111113
WAug 19 · 15:00M. Stetsenko—951111113S. Skhabitskiy—11119982
WAug 17 · 06:20M. Stetsenko—15612113S. Skhabitskiy—13111081
WAug 16 · 17:30M. Stetsenko—11112163S. Skhabitskiy—4611141
LAug 14 · 06:00M. Stetsenko—791161S. Skhabitskiy—11119113
WAug 7 · 04:30M. Stetsenko—101111113S. Skhabitskiy—128391
WAug 6 · 07:20M. Stetsenko—911129113S. Skhabitskiy—114101142
LAug 3 · 10:20M. Stetsenko—11114672S. Skhabitskiy—661111113
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113WSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113WSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:50E. Populovskyi1.301111113M. Stetsenko3.406890LSep 6 · 07:50A. Kovalenko1.4012711113M. Stetsenko2.751011791WSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2.6368120K. Klymenko1.441111143LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:05M. Stetsenko2.631111171A. Kovalenko1.4411813113
S. Skhabitskiy10
WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 16:00B. Zaika1.441011811113S. Skhabitskiy2.6312511782WAug 30 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko2.633990S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113LAug 30 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.441111113S. Skhabitskiy2.637960LAug 28 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.6191S. Skhabitskiy2.2030
Upcoming Matches
M. Stetsenko
S. Skhabitskiy
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.