TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031319
Played Aug 28Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 0
Set by set
93––––––––
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:42 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 9-3
Point 12 set 1, 9-3 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 56.5%
12 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 124–57 Sergii Skhabitskiy Sergii Skhabitskiy has won 57 of their 181 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:42What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
124-57 in 181
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 67 in 181, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1337 vs Skhabitskiy 1450
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 40% vs Skhabitskiy 80%
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 40% vs Skhabitskiy 70%
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -3 · Skhabitskiy -1
Mytsyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skhabitskiy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.61 / Skhabitskiy 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Mytsyk)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13031319
Mytsyk1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 175 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it88% 86 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it77% 131 of 170
Skhabitskiy2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 112 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back23% 33 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk3wins
AwaySkhabitskiy7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkhabitskiy leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkhabitskiy87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk2Skhabitskiy8n = 10Skhabitskiy took 8 of 10
S2Mytsyk5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S3Mytsyk5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Mytsyk3Skhabitskiy5n = 8Skhabitskiy took 5 of 8
S5Mytsyk2Skhabitskiy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykSkhabitskiyM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.740.1−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1068 vs 493 / 109949.8%44.9%532 / 1068 vs 493 / 1099Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.61/Skhabitskiy 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–0
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 07:05O. Mytsyk—681191S. Skhabitskiy—11117113
LAug 20 · 10:20O. Mytsyk—101060S. Skhabitskiy—1212113
LAug 19 · 16:30O. Mytsyk—911111132S. Skhabitskiy—111378113
WAug 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk—1111113S. Skhabitskiy—4750
LAug 16 · 13:30O. Mytsyk—6111361S. Skhabitskiy—111311113
WAug 14 · 11:30O. Mytsyk—7111211113S. Skhabitskiy—11914652
WAug 12 · 08:05O. Mytsyk—114611113S. Skhabitskiy—51111482
LAug 9 · 15:00O. Mytsyk—611791S. Skhabitskiy—11711113
LJul 31 · 09:30O. Mytsyk—911891S. Skhabitskiy—11711113
LJul 27 · 08:50O. Mytsyk—111111782S. Skhabitskiy—137811113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113LSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko1.4411714113O. Mytsyk2.636111241LSep 4 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.611111113O. Mytsyk2.209870WSep 3 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.251111913113A. Kovalenko1.57136111192LSep 3 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.6751117113O. Mytsyk2.101121581LSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko1.5011119113O. Mytsyk2.50951151
S. Skhabitskiy10
WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831LAug 30 · 16:00B. Zaika1.441011811113S. Skhabitskiy2.6312511782WAug 30 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko2.633990S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113LAug 30 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.441111113S. Skhabitskiy2.637960
Upcoming Matches
O. Mytsyk
S. Skhabitskiy
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