TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044588
Played Aug 30Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012115811117118
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:36 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 66.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 21–9 Sergii Skhabitskiy Sergii Skhabitskiy has won 9 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:36What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-9 in 30
Zaika
Correct
gap of 12 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1466 vs Skhabitskiy 1468
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 60% vs Skhabitskiy 40%
Zaika
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 60% vs Skhabitskiy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika +2 · Skhabitskiy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zaika)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.44 / Skhabitskiy 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Zaika)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13044588
Zaika1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 58 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it70% 44 of 63
Skhabitskiy2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 111 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back23% 33 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaika9wins
AwaySkhabitskiy1wins
6 of 10 to a deciderZaika leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaika100%5 of 5
AwaySkhabitskiy20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S2Zaika5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S3Zaika4Skhabitskiy6n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S4Zaika7Skhabitskiy1n = 8Zaika took 7 of 8
S5Zaika6Skhabitskiy0n = 6Zaika took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaikaSkhabitskiyZ − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.238.9+3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 566 vs 489 / 109749.3%44.6%279 / 566 vs 489 / 1097Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.44/Skhabitskiy 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 9 · 20:50B. Zaika—1111211113S. Skhabitskiy—61114472
WApr 12 · 09:20B. Zaika—21111133S. Skhabitskiy—1174111
WApr 11 · 19:50B. Zaika—1113611113S. Skhabitskiy—131111762
WApr 4 · 20:50B. Zaika—117811113S. Skhabitskiy—61111862
WFeb 20 · 10:30B. Zaika—661111113S. Skhabitskiy—11117582
WFeb 18 · 07:00B. Zaika—1112113S. Skhabitskiy—91080
WFeb 17 · 11:40B. Zaika—911711113S. Skhabitskiy—11511892
WFeb 14 · 21:20B. Zaika—11711123S. Skhabitskiy—6114101
LFeb 12 · 11:40B. Zaika—6750S. Skhabitskiy—1111113
WFeb 5 · 11:40B. Zaika—1211108113S. Skhabitskiy—107121172
B. Zaika10
WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380WSep 2 · 16:30O. Mytsyk2.25861181B. Zaika1.5711116113LSep 2 · 15:30B. Zaika1.6111681192M. Stetsenko2.20611116113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Smyk3.5011137123B. Zaika1.2851111101LSep 2 · 13:00B. Zaika1.5791111552K. Klymenko2.25115811113
S. Skhabitskiy10
WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831WAug 30 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko2.633990S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113LAug 30 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.441111113S. Skhabitskiy2.637960LAug 28 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.6191S. Skhabitskiy2.2030
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