TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044091
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911911––––
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:16 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ovsiienko above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 66.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ovsiienko 4–15 Sergii Skhabitskiy Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Skhabitskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-15 in 19
Skhabitskiy
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovsiienko 1379 vs Skhabitskiy 1428
Skhabitskiy
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovsiienko 80% vs Skhabitskiy 40%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovsiienko 50% vs Skhabitskiy 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovsiienko -1 · Skhabitskiy -3
Skhabitskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skhabitskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvsiienko 2.63 / Skhabitskiy 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13044091
Ovsiienko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 77 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 72
Skhabitskiy1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 111 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it73% 82 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvsiienko3wins
AwaySkhabitskiy7wins
Skhabitskiy leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvsiienko60%3 of 5
AwaySkhabitskiy100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovsiienko5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S2Ovsiienko1Skhabitskiy9n = 10Skhabitskiy took 9 of 10
S3Ovsiienko3Skhabitskiy7n = 10Skhabitskiy took 7 of 10
S4Ovsiienko2Skhabitskiy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvsiienkoSkhabitskiyO − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match27.533.4−5.9per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvsiienkoSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 846 vs 489 / 110051.8%44.5%438 / 846 vs 489 / 1100Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiyOvsiienko 2.63/Skhabitskiy 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko—3990S. Skhabitskiy—1111113
LAug 24 · 09:50O. Ovsiienko—8760S. Skhabitskiy—1111113
WAug 23 · 12:40O. Ovsiienko—11413113S. Skhabitskiy—4111151
LAug 21 · 05:05O. Ovsiienko—11960S. Skhabitskiy—1311113
LAug 20 · 08:50O. Ovsiienko—3620S. Skhabitskiy—1111113
WAug 19 · 13:30O. Ovsiienko—1111113S. Skhabitskiy—7820
LAug 17 · 11:20O. Ovsiienko—11111031S. Skhabitskiy—71312113
LAug 16 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko—1161111S. Skhabitskiy—41113113
WAug 12 · 05:05O. Ovsiienko—13511113S. Skhabitskiy—1111871
LAug 9 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko—6680S. Skhabitskiy—1111113
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 7 · 07:05O. Shyshman1.507860O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 7 · 05:05K. Klymenko2.6311139113O. Ovsiienko1.443111191WSep 6 · 19:00K. Klymenko2.638101181O. Ovsiienko1.4411128113LSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 15:30O. Leonenko1.5011119113O. Ovsiienko2.50891171LSep 6 · 13:30V. Smyk1.617111173O. Ovsiienko2.20116621LSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651LSep 3 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.509111110113O. Ovsiienko2.5011971212LSep 3 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.611111123O. Ovsiienko2.2049100WSep 3 · 09:50K. Klymenko3.0011812562O. Ovsiienko1.369111011113
S. Skhabitskiy10
WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391WAug 31 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.2513117123S. Solomko1.5711611101LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831LAug 30 · 16:00B. Zaika1.441011811113S. Skhabitskiy2.6312511782LAug 30 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.441111113S. Skhabitskiy2.637960LAug 28 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.6191S. Skhabitskiy2.2030
Upcoming Matches
O. Ovsiienko
S. Skhabitskiy
Nothing scheduled
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