TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049346
Played Aug 31Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111167111210––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 55.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 16–8 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:59What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-8 in 24
Skhabitskiy
Correct
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1428 vs Solomko 1521
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 20% vs Solomko 40%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 40% vs Solomko 60%
Solomko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy -3 · Solomko +2
Skhabitskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Solomko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 2.25 / Solomko 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Solomko)+0.1pp
Setka Cup · #13049346
Skhabitskiy2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 111 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back23% 33 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 84
Solomko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 131 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it91% 64 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it79% 93 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy5wins
AwaySolomko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy83.3%5 of 6
AwaySolomko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy6Solomko4n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S2Skhabitskiy4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Skhabitskiy4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S4Skhabitskiy3Solomko5n = 8Solomko took 5 of 8
S5Skhabitskiy3Solomko1n = 4Skhabitskiy took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiySolomkoSkhabitskiy − SolomkoBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.538.1−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiySolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 1100 vs 513 / 101344.5%50.6%489 / 1100 vs 513 / 1013Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoSkhabitskiy 2.25/Solomko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 10 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy—71171152S. Solomko—112117113
LMay 26 · 05:30S. Skhabitskiy—113541S. Solomko—61111113
LMay 16 · 17:20S. Skhabitskiy—791181S. Solomko—11119113
WMay 9 · 14:50S. Skhabitskiy—1111113S. Solomko—7980
LApr 19 · 20:50S. Skhabitskiy—9460S. Solomko—1111113
WApr 6 · 12:50S. Skhabitskiy—1191211113S. Solomko—81114992
LApr 5 · 21:50S. Skhabitskiy—6101171S. Solomko—11121113
WMar 30 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy—121189113S. Solomko—104111182
WFeb 26 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy—11411113S. Solomko—611751
WOct 11 · 18:50S. Skhabitskiy—111188103S. Solomko—93111182
S. Skhabitskiy10
WAug 31 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.57107111142S. Skhabitskiy2.25121188113LAug 31 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy3.2512311762A. Martyniuk1.331011911113LAug 31 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5099130E. Populovskyi1.501111153WAug 31 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.7511411113A. Kovalenko1.40511391LAug 30 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.001111113S. Skhabitskiy1.737470LAug 30 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.8371111113S. Skhabitskiy1.83119831LAug 30 · 16:00B. Zaika1.441011811113S. Skhabitskiy2.6312511782WAug 30 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko2.633990S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113LAug 30 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.441111113S. Skhabitskiy2.637960LAug 28 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.6191S. Skhabitskiy2.2030
S. Solomko10
WSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 05:30D. Khairov1.502011113S. Solomko2.5018880WSep 6 · 12:50A. Kovalenko1.83381111S. Solomko1.831111393WSep 6 · 11:20S. Solomko1.251211113M. Stetsenko3.7510670LSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113WSep 6 · 06:20E. Populovskyi3.25117971S. Solomko1.3381111113LSep 5 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.44111110113S. Solomko2.63771281LSep 5 · 17:30S. Solomko1.919790F. Voinarovskyi1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Skhabitskiy
Nothing scheduled
S. Solomko
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