TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435711
Played Aug 15Finished
Stepan Hryhorenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711116118––
Vitalii Kryvenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingStepan Hryhorenko above · Vitalii Kryvenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 71.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Hryhorenko 1–0 Vitalii Kryvenko Vitalii Kryvenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kryvenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hryhorenko 1520 vs Kryvenko 1636
Kryvenko
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hryhorenko 20% vs Kryvenko 60%
Kryvenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hryhorenko 40% vs Kryvenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hryhorenko -4 · Kryvenko +2
Hryhorenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kryvenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryhorenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhorenko 2.63 / Kryvenko 1.44
Signal prob.29% / 72%
Edge (Kryvenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435711
Hryhorenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 23 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Kryvenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 39 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHryhorenko1wins
AwayKryvenko0wins
Hryhorenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHryhorenkoKryvenkoH − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.034.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorenkoKryvenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 119 vs 53 / 8837%60.2%44 / 119 vs 53 / 88Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoHryhorenko 2.63/Kryvenko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.5%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hryhorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko—11711113V. Kryvenko—911681
S. Hryhorenko10
LSep 2 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.73111110792E. Populovskyi2.00751211113LSep 2 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.3811115113S. Hryhorenko1.53491141LSep 2 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko1.61911791S. Solomko2.2011711113WSep 2 · 07:35A. Kurtenko2.209650S. Hryhorenko1.611111113WSep 2 · 06:05S. Hryhorenko1.531111113O. Lipeiko2.386690LAug 30 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.73881161E. Populovskyi2.0011117113WAug 30 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.837620S. Hryhorenko1.831111113WAug 30 · 09:20S. Hryhorenko1.611281111113S. Solomko2.2014114782WAug 30 · 08:20D. Khairov1.80111110342S. Hryhorenko1.91391211113WAug 30 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.8061111123O. Tymofeev1.911189101
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
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