TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472302
Played Aug 22Finished
Vitalii Kryvenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121210511119511
Yurii Volkov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kryvenko above · Yurii Volkov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 96 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kryvenko 6–4 Yurii Volkov Yurii Volkov has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Kryvenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvenko 1631 vs Volkov 1690
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvenko 60% vs Volkov 80%
Volkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvenko 50% vs Volkov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvenko -1 · Volkov +3
Volkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvenko 1.83 / Volkov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kryvenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472302
Kryvenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Volkov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvenko6wins
AwayVolkov4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKryvenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvenko100%5 of 5
AwayVolkov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvenko5Volkov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kryvenko4Volkov6n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S3Kryvenko6Volkov4n = 10Kryvenko took 6 of 10
S4Kryvenko3Volkov3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvenkoVolkovK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.135.5+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvenkoVolkovBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 90 vs 425 / 78960%53.9%54 / 90 vs 425 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoKryvenko 1.83/Volkov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 05:05V. Kryvenko—61090Y. Volkov—1112113
LJul 25 · 05:05V. Kryvenko—291141Y. Volkov—11115113
WJul 18 · 07:05V. Kryvenko—11114113Y. Volkov—6111271
WJun 30 · 11:10V. Kryvenko—1111113Y. Volkov—7580
WJun 26 · 06:05V. Kryvenko—1111113Y. Volkov—8930
WJun 23 · 08:30V. Kryvenko—8101115113Y. Volkov—111241382
WJun 22 · 06:30V. Kryvenko—112117113Y. Volkov—51181142
LMay 10 · 12:00V. Kryvenko—4141691Y. Volkov—111218113
LMay 2 · 06:35V. Kryvenko—9970Y. Volkov—1111113
WApr 5 · 10:35V. Kryvenko—11118123Y. Volkov—7711101
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113WAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090
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