TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435680
Played Aug 15Finished
Andrey Troyan
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118411116311
Vitalii Kryvenko
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 72.9% is still 72.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
72.9%
72.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrey Troyan above · Vitalii Kryvenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 85 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 72.9%
85 points played in total.
H2H Andrey Troyan 1–3 Vitalii Kryvenko Andrey Troyan has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kryvenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kryvenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Troyan 1613 vs Kryvenko 1636
Kryvenko
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Troyan 60% vs Kryvenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Troyan 50% vs Kryvenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Troyan +2 · Kryvenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kryvenko) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTroyan 3.00 / Kryvenko 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kryvenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435680
Troyan3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 55 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Kryvenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 39 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTroyan1wins
AwayKryvenko3wins
Kryvenko leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTroyann = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKryvenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Troyan1Kryvenko3n = 4Kryvenko took 3 of 4
S2Troyan2Kryvenko2n = 4split evenly
S3Troyan1Kryvenko3n = 4Kryvenko took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricTroyanKryvenkoT − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match28.833.5−4.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTroyanKryvenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 972 vs 53 / 8847.3%60.2%460 / 972 vs 53 / 88Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoTroyan 3.00/Kryvenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kryvenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 23 · 10:00A. Troyan—10960V. Kryvenko—1211113
LMay 3 · 14:30A. Troyan—7790V. Kryvenko—1111113
LMay 2 · 10:35A. Troyan—7111061V. Kryvenko—11912113
WApr 5 · 09:05A. Troyan—1111113V. Kryvenko—7980
A. Troyan10
WSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113WSep 7 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov2.751134101A. Troyan1.4081111123WSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272LSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 06:48A. Kotiash2.007240A. Troyan1.731111113LSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.171111113A. Troyan4.505870WSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892LSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
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