TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435812
Played Aug 15Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210119––––
Vitalii Kryvenko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Vitalii Kryvenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 63.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 3–6 Vitalii Kryvenko Yurii Volkov has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kryvenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Kryvenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1731 vs Kryvenko 1696
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 100% vs Kryvenko 60%
Volkov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 80% vs Kryvenko 60%
Volkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +5 · Kryvenko +2
Volkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kryvenko) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 2.25 / Kryvenko 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kryvenko)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435812
Volkov2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 61 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Kryvenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 39 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVolkov3wins
AwayKryvenko6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderKryvenko leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov75%3 of 4
AwayKryvenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Kryvenko5n = 9Kryvenko took 5 of 9
S2Volkov5Kryvenko4n = 9Volkov took 5 of 9
S3Volkov3Kryvenko6n = 9Kryvenko took 6 of 9
S4Volkov3Kryvenko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricVolkovKryvenkoV − KBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match35.737.3−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKryvenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 788 vs 51 / 8354.1%61.5%426 / 788 vs 51 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoVolkov 2.25/Kryvenko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 25 · 05:05Y. Volkov—11115113V. Kryvenko—291141
LJul 18 · 07:05Y. Volkov—6111271V. Kryvenko—11114113
LJun 30 · 11:10Y. Volkov—7580V. Kryvenko—1111113
LJun 26 · 06:05Y. Volkov—8930V. Kryvenko—1111113
LJun 23 · 08:30Y. Volkov—111241382V. Kryvenko—8101115113
LJun 22 · 06:30Y. Volkov—51181142V. Kryvenko—112117113
WMay 10 · 12:00Y. Volkov—111218113V. Kryvenko—4141691
WMay 2 · 06:35Y. Volkov—1111113V. Kryvenko—9970
LApr 5 · 10:35Y. Volkov—7711101V. Kryvenko—11118123
Y. Volkov10
LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.631111113V. Kryvenko1.448690WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
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