TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435749
Played Aug 15Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116119––––
Vitalii Kryvenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kryvenko to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Vitalii Kryvenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Kryvenko at 71.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 1–1 Vitalii Kryvenko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kryvenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1446 vs Kryvenko 1636
Kryvenko
Wrong
both rated, 191 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 20% vs Kryvenko 60%
Kryvenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 30% vs Kryvenko 60%
Kryvenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka +1 · Kryvenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kryvenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 2.63 / Kryvenko 1.44
Signal prob.29% / 72%
Edge (Kryvenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435749
Makovka2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 42 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 59
Kryvenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 41 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMakovka1wins
AwayKryvenko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMakovkaKryvenkoM − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match27.531.5−4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaKryvenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 365 vs 53 / 8839.7%60.2%145 / 365 vs 53 / 88Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvenkoMakovka 2.63/Kryvenko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.5%
Kryvenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 15 · 07:05Y. Makovka—1111113V. Kryvenko—8690
LMar 21 · 11:35Y. Makovka—341141V. Kryvenko—11117113
Y. Makovka10
WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572LAug 29 · 16:10Y. Makovka2.506870O. Zhyrnov1.501111113LAug 29 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.5711115133Y. Makovka2.257711111LAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852LAug 29 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.201111113Y. Makovka4.333840
V. Kryvenko10
LAug 22 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.671111113V. Kryvenko2.107890WAug 22 · 10:05V. Kryvenko1.5011811113A. Kotiash2.50611781LAug 22 · 09:05V. Kryvenko1.83101251152Y. Volkov1.831210119113LAug 22 · 07:35V. Kryvenko1.5376121192Y. Makovka2.381111107113WAug 22 · 05:35V. Kryvenko1.4091112113A. Troyan2.751181041LAug 15 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko2.6311711113V. Kryvenko1.44911681WAug 15 · 10:35A. Troyan3.0091141132V. Kryvenko1.36118116113WAug 15 · 09:05Y. Kovshun2.0029130V. Kryvenko1.731111152LAug 15 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.251112113V. Kryvenko1.5761090WJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
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