TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037437
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleksandr Blashkun
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811116911115117
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Makovka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Yaroslav Makovka at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 4–7 Yaroslav Makovka Oleksandr Blashkun has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:22What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Blashkun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Makovka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1624 vs Makovka 1464
Blashkun
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 80% vs Makovka 0%
Blashkun
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 60% vs Makovka 40%
Blashkun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun +3 · Makovka -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Blashkun) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 1.30 / Makovka 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Blashkun)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037437
Blashkun1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 32 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it69% 25 of 36
Makovka3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlashkun3wins
AwayMakovka7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMakovka leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlashkun66.7%2 of 3
AwayMakovka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blashkun3Makovka7n = 10Makovka took 7 of 10
S2Blashkun4Makovka6n = 10Makovka took 6 of 10
S3Blashkun4Makovka6n = 10Makovka took 6 of 10
S4Blashkun2Makovka3n = 5Makovka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlashkunMakovkaB − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.435.2−5.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 179 vs 147 / 36948%39.8%86 / 179 vs 147 / 369Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlashkunBlashkun 1.30/Makovka 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Blashkun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Blashkun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 5 · 06:00O. Blashkun—11116932Y. Makovka—481111113
LJul 4 · 17:10O. Blashkun—311681Y. Makovka—11811113
LJun 14 · 08:30O. Blashkun—8890Y. Makovka—1111113
LJun 13 · 15:40O. Blashkun—55100Y. Makovka—1111123
LJun 7 · 10:30O. Blashkun—551331Y. Makovka—111111113
LJun 6 · 13:10O. Blashkun—9770Y. Makovka—1111113
WMay 17 · 11:05O. Blashkun—81315113Y. Makovka—11111381
WMay 16 · 15:40O. Blashkun—1111123Y. Makovka—24100
LMar 22 · 08:30O. Blashkun—4430Y. Makovka—1111113
WMar 1 · 11:30O. Blashkun—11612113Y. Makovka—3111061
O. Blashkun10
LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun1.44131112482R. Sopivnyk2.631191411113WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890LAug 30 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.61115691Y. Holoborodko2.2051111113WAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151LAug 29 · 11:40O. Varlamov2.10111163113O. Blashkun1.6768111142WAug 16 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.6111119113Y. Bondarenko2.20631181
Y. Makovka10
WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 16:10Y. Makovka2.506870O. Zhyrnov1.501111113LAug 29 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.5711115133Y. Makovka2.257711111LAug 29 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.44951111113Y. Makovka2.6311114852LAug 29 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.201111113Y. Makovka4.333840LAug 22 · 11:35Y. Makovka2.381112481Y. Volkov1.53131011113
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