TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043919
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Blashkun
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118119––––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 57.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 5–13 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Blashkun has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zhyrnov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Zhyrnov
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1628 vs Zhyrnov 1680
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 80% vs Zhyrnov 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 60% vs Zhyrnov 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun -1 · Zhyrnov +4
Zhyrnov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zhyrnov) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 2.25 / Zhyrnov 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13043919
Blashkun2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 36 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Zhyrnov1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 110 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlashkun3wins
AwayZhyrnov7wins
Zhyrnov leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlashkun50%2 of 4
AwayZhyrnov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blashkun4Zhyrnov6n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S2Blashkun5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S3Blashkun2Zhyrnov8n = 10Zhyrnov took 8 of 10
S4Blashkun2Zhyrnov4n = 6Zhyrnov took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlashkunZhyrnovB − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.436.2−3.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 185 vs 370 / 75148.1%49.3%89 / 185 vs 370 / 751Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovBlashkun 2.25/Zhyrnov 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Blashkun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun—1211113O. Zhyrnov—10890
WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun—14117113O. Zhyrnov—1251151
LAug 16 · 09:00O. Blashkun—811771O. Zhyrnov—11411113
LJul 22 · 12:10O. Blashkun—6750O. Zhyrnov—1111113
LJul 19 · 04:30O. Blashkun—116871O. Zhyrnov—91111113
LJul 18 · 11:40O. Blashkun—611571O. Zhyrnov—11911113
LJul 4 · 10:40O. Blashkun—91190O. Zhyrnov—1113113
WJul 2 · 13:40O. Blashkun—91211113O. Zhyrnov—1110781
LJun 20 · 10:40O. Blashkun—1188101O. Zhyrnov—91111123
LJun 14 · 05:00O. Blashkun—71090O. Zhyrnov—1112113
O. Blashkun10
LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun1.44131112482R. Sopivnyk2.631191411113LAug 30 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.61115691Y. Holoborodko2.2051111113WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572WAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151LAug 29 · 11:40O. Varlamov2.10111163113O. Blashkun1.6768111142WAug 16 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.6111119113Y. Bondarenko2.20631181
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113LAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151
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