TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043874
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Blashkun
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115511611911––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:45 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Blashkun to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Blashkun at 59.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 17–12 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 12 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:45What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Blashkun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-12 in 29
Blashkun
Wrong
gap of 5 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1636 vs Holoborodko 1623
Blashkun
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 80% vs Holoborodko 60%
Blashkun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun +4 · Holoborodko -1
Blashkun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Blashkun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 1.61 / Holoborodko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Blashkun)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13043874
Blashkun1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 32 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it69% 25 of 36
Holoborodko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 66 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back27% 29 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlashkun7wins
AwayHoloborodko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBlashkun leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlashkun75%6 of 8
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blashkun8Holoborodko2n = 10Blashkun took 8 of 10
S2Blashkun6Holoborodko4n = 10Blashkun took 6 of 10
S3Blashkun5Holoborodko5n = 10split evenly
S4Blashkun5Holoborodko4n = 9Blashkun took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlashkunHoloborodkoB − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.533.8+7.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 180 vs 304 / 57648.3%52.8%87 / 180 vs 304 / 576Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlashkunBlashkun 1.61/Holoborodko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Blashkun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 04:30O. Blashkun—1191110112Y. Holoborodko—411212133
WAug 15 · 17:40O. Blashkun—11811113Y. Holoborodko—611481
LAug 9 · 05:00O. Blashkun—11101081Y. Holoborodko—21212113
WAug 8 · 16:10O. Blashkun—1114113Y. Holoborodko—31260
WJul 23 · 12:10O. Blashkun—91111113Y. Holoborodko—118541
LJul 18 · 17:40O. Blashkun—961181Y. Holoborodko—11112113
WJul 4 · 16:10O. Blashkun—111198123Y. Holoborodko—891111102
WJul 2 · 12:40O. Blashkun—111110113Y. Holoborodko—631271
WJun 21 · 08:30O. Blashkun—11115113Y. Holoborodko—891171
WJun 20 · 12:40O. Blashkun—11125113Y. Holoborodko—5101181
O. Blashkun10
LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun1.44131112482R. Sopivnyk2.631191411113WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572WAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun2.6314117113O. Zhyrnov1.441251151LAug 29 · 11:40O. Varlamov2.10111163113O. Blashkun1.6768111142WAug 16 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.6111119113Y. Bondarenko2.20631181
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760
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