TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037710
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleksandr Blashkun
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412115711115––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 76 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 63.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 3–13 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Blashkun has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zhyrnov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-13 in 16
Zhyrnov
Wrong
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1616 vs Zhyrnov 1594
Blashkun
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 40% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 50% vs Zhyrnov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun -1 · Zhyrnov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 2.63 / Zhyrnov 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Zhyrnov)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13037710
Blashkun2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 33 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Zhyrnov1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 104 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it84% 76 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlashkun2wins
AwayZhyrnov8wins
Zhyrnov leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlashkun33.3%1 of 3
AwayZhyrnov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blashkun3Zhyrnov7n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S2Blashkun5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S3Blashkun2Zhyrnov8n = 10Zhyrnov took 8 of 10
S4Blashkun1Zhyrnov5n = 6Zhyrnov took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlashkunZhyrnovB − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.337.2−5.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 176 vs 367 / 74747.2%49.1%83 / 176 vs 367 / 747Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovBlashkun 2.63/Zhyrnov 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Blashkun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 09:00O. Blashkun—811771O. Zhyrnov—11411113
LJul 22 · 12:10O. Blashkun—6750O. Zhyrnov—1111113
LJul 19 · 04:30O. Blashkun—116871O. Zhyrnov—91111113
LJul 18 · 11:40O. Blashkun—611571O. Zhyrnov—11911113
LJul 4 · 10:40O. Blashkun—91190O. Zhyrnov—1113113
WJul 2 · 13:40O. Blashkun—91211113O. Zhyrnov—1110781
LJun 20 · 10:40O. Blashkun—1188101O. Zhyrnov—91111123
LJun 14 · 05:00O. Blashkun—71090O. Zhyrnov—1112113
LJun 13 · 13:40O. Blashkun—914641O. Zhyrnov—111211113
WJun 7 · 05:00O. Blashkun—1111113O. Zhyrnov—8890
O. Blashkun10
LAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:00O. Blashkun1.50121111113V. Merzlikin2.501013841LAug 30 · 07:30O. Blashkun1.44131112482R. Sopivnyk2.631191411113WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890LAug 30 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.61115691Y. Holoborodko2.2051111113WAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572WAug 29 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411961152O. Blashkun2.63711117113WAug 29 · 13:40V. Merzlikin2.204980O. Blashkun1.611111113LAug 29 · 11:40O. Varlamov2.10111163113O. Blashkun1.6768111142WAug 16 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.6111119113Y. Bondarenko2.20631181
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113LAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun2.251211113O. Zhyrnov1.5710890
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